Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: Puskas Academy II vs Komarom VSE

Team pages: Puskas Academy II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Puskas Academy II1.7

Komarom VSE1.46

1X2

42% 25% 32%

Puskas Academy II Draw Komarom VSE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Puskas Academy II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLWLLL

Komarom VSE 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDWLDW

Head-to-head

Puskas Academy II 1–3–2 Komarom VSE (6 last)

Puskas Academy II1-2Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE0-1Puskas Academy II
Puskas Academy II0-2Komarom VSE
Komarom VSE1-1Puskas Academy II
Puskas Academy II0-0Komarom VSE
Puskas Academy II1-1Komarom VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puskas Academy II 1465 · Komarom VSE 1545

	Puskas Academy II	Draw	Komarom VSE
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	42%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Komarom VSE (rating 1465 vs 1545).
H2H favours Komarom VSE: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puskas Academy II	Komarom VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	2.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	2.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +5’	2.10	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puskas Academy II 1–3–2 Komarom VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	1-2 HT 1-0	Komarom VSE
27/08/25 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	0-1 HT 0-0	Puskas Academy II
02/03/25 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	0-2 HT 0-1	Komarom VSE
11/08/24 Hungary NB III	Komarom VSE	1-1 HT 0-0	Puskas Academy II
21/04/24 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	0-0 HT 0-0	Komarom VSE
23/04/23 Hungary NB III	Puskas Academy II	1-1 HT 0-0	Komarom VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	2	2	0	0	10	1	6
2	MTE 1904	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	2	1	1	0	7	2	4
4	Komarom VSE	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	SC Sopron	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
6	FC Tatabanya	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
7	Bicskei TC	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
7	Györi ETO II	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	Kiraly SZE	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Papai Perutz	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	Sarisapi BSE	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
12	Veszprem FC	2	1	0	1	3	7	3
13	1908 SZAC Budapest	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Zalaegerszegi TE II	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
15	Puskas Academy II	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
16	Balatonalmadi SE	2	0	0	2	2	10	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puskas Academy II	Komarom VSE
Bicskei TC	1-2 L	4-3 W
Dorogi FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
Veszprem FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Papai Perutz	3-1 W	8-2 W
Zsambeki SK	3-2 W	6-1 W
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	2-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Komarom VSE (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puskas Academy II

DDLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	0-4	2	4	L
25/07	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-2	6	5	L
24/05	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
10/05	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
30/04	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
26/04	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	4	2	W
19/04	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	2-2	2-4	3	2	L
11/04	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
05/04	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	7	5	D

Komarom VSE

LWWDWDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
17/05	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
10/05	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-3	6	3	W
26/04	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/04	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-2	8-2	6	5	W
11/04	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	3-0	6-1	–	–	W
05/04	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puskas Academy II vs Komarom VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puskas Academy II win (42%). Probabilities: Puskas Academy II 42%, draw 25%, Komarom VSE 32%.

How many goals are expected in Puskas Academy II vs Komarom VSE?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Puskas Academy II 1.7 · Komarom VSE 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puskas Academy II vs Komarom VSE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.