Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America

Team pages: Deportivo Capiata · Sol de America

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Deportivo Capiata1.12

Sol de America1.04

1X2

37% 30% 33%

Deportivo Capiata Draw Sol de America

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Capiata 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLDLDL

Sol de America 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDDDWD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Capiata 1–4–1 Sol de America (6 last)

Sol de America1-1Deportivo Capiata
Sol de America1-1Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata2-0Sol de America
Sol de America0-0Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata0-4Sol de America
Sol de America1-1Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1475 · Sol de America 1552

	Deportivo Capiata	Draw	Sol de America
Our model	36%	32%	32%
Market	38%	29%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1475 vs 1552).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Capiata	Sol de America
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 5	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.10

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
19:45 +3’	2.40	3.10	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 1–4–1 Sol de America

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata
22/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Capiata
14/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	2-0 HT 2-0	Sol de America
05/12/19 Paraguay Cup	Sol de America	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata
13/11/19 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Capiata	0-4 HT 0-1	Sol de America
24/08/19 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sol de America	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	17	11	4	2	24	12	37
2	General Caballero JLM	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	17	9	5	3	27	16	32
4	Deportivo Santaní	17	9	3	5	23	14	30
5	Sol de America	17	5	10	2	20	15	25
6	Resistencia FC	17	6	6	5	20	21	24
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	17	6	5	6	24	22	23
8	Guairena FC	17	6	5	6	18	20	23
9	Deportivo Capiata	17	5	8	4	23	21	23
10	Independiente FBC	17	5	7	5	25	24	22
11	Carapegua	17	6	4	7	20	29	22
12	Fernando de la Mora	17	5	5	7	19	25	20
13	Paraguari AC	17	4	4	9	17	23	16
14	Tacuary	17	2	9	6	21	27	15
15	Encarnacion FC	17	3	3	11	15	24	12
16	3 de Noviembre	17	0	7	10	13	28	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Capiata	Sol de America
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tacuary	0-0 D	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-3 L	1-1 D
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 D	1-1 D
Carapegua	5-2 W	1-1 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	1-0 W
Encarnacion FC	1-0 W	3-2 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 6 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Capiata

LWDWDLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
29/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
23/07	Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Cup	0-1	2-3	9	5	L
20/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
07/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/06	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	5-2	5	2	W
07/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/05	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
23/05	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

Sol de America

WDWWDDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
29/07	River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Cup	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
28/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	0	6	W
08/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
29/05	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
24/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Capiata win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 37%, draw 30%, Sol de America 33%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.12 · Sol de America 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.