Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:00

Prediction: Egri FC vs Tiszafured VSE

Team pages: Tiszafured VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

Egri FC1.93

Tiszafured VSE1.85

1X2

39% 24% 36%

Egri FC Draw Tiszafured VSE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Egri FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLWW

Tiszafured VSE 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Egri FC 1–4 Tiszafured VSE (5 last)

Egri FC2-4Tiszafured VSE
Tiszafured VSE4-3Egri FC
Tiszafured VSE3-1Egri FC
Tiszafured VSE1-4Egri FC
Tiszafured VSE1-0Egri FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Egri FC 1499 · Tiszafured VSE 1546

	Egri FC	Draw	Tiszafured VSE
Our model	40%	23%	37%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiszafured VSE (rating 1499 vs 1546).
H2H favours Tiszafured VSE: 4-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Egri FC	Tiszafured VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.8	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	2.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +16’	2.30	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Egri FC 1–0–4 Tiszafured VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB III	Egri FC	2-4 HT 1-0	Tiszafured VSE
02/11/25 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	4-3 HT 2-2	Egri FC
22/09/24 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	3-1 HT 1-1	Egri FC
26/03/23 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	1-4 HT 0-2	Egri FC
14/11/21 Hungary NB III	Tiszafured VSE	1-0 HT 0-0	Egri FC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	DEAC	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Godolloi SK	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Ozd Sajovolgye	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
4	Egri FC	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	Mateszalkai MTK	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Debreceni II	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
7	Cigand SE	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	Nyiregyhaza II	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
9	Fuzesabonyi SC	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	Tarpa SC	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Kisvarda II	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
12	Diosgyori VTK II	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
13	Salgotarjani BTC	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
14	FC Tiszaujvaros	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
15	Tiszafured VSE	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Hajdunanas FK	2	0	0	2	2	7	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Egri FC	Tiszafured VSE
Cigand SE	1-0 W	2-1 W
Senyo Carnifex	3-0 W	2-0 W
DEAC	4-3 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Egri FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Egri FC

LWLWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/07	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/07	Mezokovesd Zsory Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
24/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
17/05	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-4	–	–	L
10/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
02/05	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
26/04	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/04	DEAC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-3	4	1	W
11/04	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	4	3	L

Tiszafured VSE

WWWLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
01/07	BKV Elore SC Europe Friendlies	2-2	5-4	5	1	W
24/05	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	2-1	3-2	2	2	W
17/05	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-1	4-2	–	–	W
10/05	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/05	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
26/04	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	3-2	4-3	4	3	W
19/04	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-0	5-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Egri FC vs Tiszafured VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Egri FC win (39%). Probabilities: Egri FC 39%, draw 24%, Tiszafured VSE 36%.

How many goals are expected in Egri FC vs Tiszafured VSE?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Egri FC 1.93 · Tiszafured VSE 1.85), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Egri FC vs Tiszafured VSE?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.