Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: DEAC vs Tarpa SC

Team pages: DEAC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

DEAC1.98

Tarpa SC1.04

1X2

58% 23% 19%

DEAC Draw Tarpa SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

DEAC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLWW

Tarpa SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWWDWL

Head-to-head

DEAC 1–1–0 Tarpa SC (2 last)

Tarpa SC2-2DEAC
DEAC1-0Tarpa SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · DEAC 1575 · Tarpa SC 1525

	DEAC	Draw	Tarpa SC
Our model	58%	23%	18%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours DEAC (rating 1575 vs 1525).
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	DEAC	Tarpa SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.5	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.7	1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:06 +6’	1.53	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · DEAC 1–1–0 Tarpa SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Tarpa SC	2-2 HT 1-1	DEAC
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	DEAC	1-0 HT 0-0	Tarpa SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	DEAC	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Godolloi SK	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Ozd Sajovolgye	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
4	Egri FC	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	Mateszalkai MTK	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Debreceni II	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
7	Cigand SE	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	Nyiregyhaza II	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
9	Fuzesabonyi SC	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	Tarpa SC	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Kisvarda II	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
12	Diosgyori VTK II	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
13	Salgotarjani BTC	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
14	FC Tiszaujvaros	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
15	Tiszafured VSE	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Hajdunanas FK	2	0	0	2	2	7	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	DEAC	Tarpa SC
Nyiregyhaza II	4-2 W	0-1 L
Fuzesabonyi SC	4-1 W	2-1 W
Egri FC	3-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: DEAC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

DEAC

WLWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
26/07	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
19/07	Kazincbarcikai BSC Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
24/05	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/05	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	3-1	4-1	6	4	W
10/05	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	13	2	L
03/05	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
26/04	Senyo Carnifex Hungary NB III	1-0	6-0	3	3	W
19/04	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-2	3-4	3	1	L
11/04	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-3	5-3	–	–	W

Tarpa SC

LDDWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
26/07	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
17/05	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Putnok Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	FC Hatvan Hungary NB III	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
26/04	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/04	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
11/04	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/04	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in DEAC vs Tarpa SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a DEAC win (58%). Probabilities: DEAC 58%, draw 23%, Tarpa SC 19%.

How many goals are expected in DEAC vs Tarpa SC?

The model expects 3.02 goals (DEAC 1.98 · Tarpa SC 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in DEAC vs Tarpa SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.