Football · Azerbaijan Premier League · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: Imisli vs Shamakhi FK

Team pages: Imisli · Shamakhi FK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Imisli1.05
Shamakhi FK1.14
1X2
32% 32% 37%
Imisli Draw Shamakhi FK
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Imisli 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDDLWLLLLW
Shamakhi FK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLLDDWDWDW
Head-to-head
Imisli 0–4–2 Shamakhi FK (6 last)
  • Shamakhi FK0-0Imisli
  • Imisli0-0Shamakhi FK
  • Shamakhi FK1-0Imisli
  • Imisli0-0Shamakhi FK
  • Shamakhi FK0-0Imisli
  • Imisli0-3Shamakhi FK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Imisli 1454 · Shamakhi FK 1536
ImisliDrawShamakhi FK
Our model32%32%36%
Market32%31%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamakhi FK (rating 1454 vs 1536).
  • H2H favours Shamakhi FK: 2-4-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ImisliShamakhi FK
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.71.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.72.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.14.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Imisli 0–4–2 Shamakhi FK

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Azerbaijan Premier League
Shamakhi FK0-0
HT 0-0
Imisli
22/02/26
Azerbaijan Premier League
Imisli0-0
HT 0-0
Shamakhi FK
07/11/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Shamakhi FK1-0
HT 0-0
Imisli
29/03/24
Azerbaijan Division 1
Imisli0-0
HT 0-0
Shamakhi FK
14/12/23
Azerbaijan Division 1
Shamakhi FK0-0
HT 0-0
Imisli
28/09/23
Azerbaijan Division 1
Imisli0-3
HT 0-0
Shamakhi FK

Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sabah 7610 18119
2 Neftchi Baku 8521 21817
3 FK Qarabag 7520 14717
4 PFK Turan Tovuz 8422 7514
5 Shamakhi FK 8341 12913
6 Zira IK 8332 91012
7 FK Kapaz 7322 7811
8 FK Sumqayit 7223 10108
9 Imisli 8215 7137
10 FK Gabala 8116 3154
11 Safa Baku 8107 4153
12 Araz FK 8026 6172

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentImisliShamakhi FK
PFK Turan Tovuz 1-0 W 0-0 D
FK Qarabag 0-2 L 1-3 L
FK Gabala 1-2 L 0-0 D
Safa Baku 1-0 W 3-2 W
Zira IK 1-3 L 1-1 D
Araz FK 0-0 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Shamakhi FK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Imisli

LDDLWLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 66 W
11/10 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-2 33 L
19/09 Sabah
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-2 1-3 47 L
11/09 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-2 2-3 21 L
04/09 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-1 1-2 116 L
29/08 Safa Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 61 W
22/08 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-3 15 L
15/08 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 94 D
24/05 FK Karvan
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 40 D
16/05 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-3 13 L

Shamakhi FK

WLLDDWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Safa Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 3-2 64 W
10/10 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-1 13 D
20/09 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-1 2-1 48 W
12/09 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 82 D
04/09 FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-0 4-1 510 W
29/08 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 33 D
23/08 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 13 D
17/08 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-1 1-3 44 L
21/05 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-3 1-3 33 L
16/05 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-0 3-2 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Imisli vs Shamakhi FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shamakhi FK win (37%). Probabilities: Imisli 32%, draw 32%, Shamakhi FK 37%.

How many goals are expected in Imisli vs Shamakhi FK?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Imisli 1.05 · Shamakhi FK 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Imisli vs Shamakhi FK?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.