Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: BKV Elore SC vs Gyulai Termal

Team pages: BKV Elore SC · Gyulai Termal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

BKV Elore SC1.08

Gyulai Termal2.78

1X2

11% 17% 72%

BKV Elore SC Draw Gyulai Termal

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

BKV Elore SC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWWLLL

Gyulai Termal 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

BKV Elore SC 0–1–2 Gyulai Termal (3 last)

BKV Elore SC0-5Gyulai Termal
Gyulai Termal6-0BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC1-1Gyulai Termal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BKV Elore SC 1428 · Gyulai Termal 1608

	BKV Elore SC	Draw	Gyulai Termal
Our model	12%	16%	72%
Market	11%	17%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyulai Termal (rating 1428 vs 1608).
H2H favours Gyulai Termal: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BKV Elore SC	Gyulai Termal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.6	3.2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3	3.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

18.00

X5.25

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)2.00

2 (-1.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:06 +2’	8.00	5.25	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BKV Elore SC 0–1–2 Gyulai Termal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	0-5 HT 0-3	Gyulai Termal
21/09/25 Hungary NB III	Gyulai Termal	6-0 HT 3-0	BKV Elore SC
13/04/25 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	1-1 HT 0-1	Gyulai Termal

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	2	2	0	0	10	0	6
2	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	2	2	0	0	7	3	6
3	III Keruleti TUE	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Ujpest II	2	1	1	0	8	2	4
5	Szolnoki Mav FC	2	1	1	0	7	4	4
6	ESMTK	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
7	FC Dabas	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
8	Vasas SC II	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
9	Bekescsabai Elore SE	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
10	Kispest Honved II	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	Szegedi VSE	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	Monori SE	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
13	Csepel FC	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
15	BKV Elore SC	2	0	0	2	0	8	0
16	Sandorfalvi SK	2	0	0	2	2	12	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BKV Elore SC	Gyulai Termal
III Keruleti TUE	0-2 L	2-0 W
Monori SE	2-1 W	1-2 L
Tiszafoldvar	5-0 W	4-0 W
Hodmezovasarhelyi	2-3 L	3-0 W
ESMTK	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gyulai Termal (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

BKV Elore SC

DLLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
26/07	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-6	4	3	L
01/07	Tiszafured VSE Europe Friendlies	2-2	4-5	0	1	L
24/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
17/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
10/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-3	2	5	L
03/05	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
26/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
19/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/04	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	2	4	D

Gyulai Termal

WDWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	3-0	7-0	4	2	W
25/07	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
24/05	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
17/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	7	2	W
10/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	7	5	L
03/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
26/04	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
19/04	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/04	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	3-0	5-0	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BKV Elore SC vs Gyulai Termal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gyulai Termal win (72%). Probabilities: BKV Elore SC 11%, draw 17%, Gyulai Termal 72%.

How many goals are expected in BKV Elore SC vs Gyulai Termal?

The model expects 3.86 goals (BKV Elore SC 1.08 · Gyulai Termal 2.78), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BKV Elore SC vs Gyulai Termal?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.