Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: Budaorsi SC vs Ivancsa

Team pages: Budaorsi SC · Ivancsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Budaorsi SC1.49

Ivancsa1.66

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Budaorsi SC Draw Ivancsa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Budaorsi SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWWDL

Ivancsa 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDDLWW

Head-to-head

Budaorsi SC 1–2 Ivancsa (3 last)

Ivancsa3-0Budaorsi SC
Budaorsi SC2-1Ivancsa
Budaorsi SC0-3Ivancsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Budaorsi SC 1508 · Ivancsa 1534

	Budaorsi SC	Draw	Ivancsa
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ivancsa: 2-0-1.
High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Budaorsi SC	Ivancsa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	4.7 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +2’	2.63	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Budaorsi SC 1–0–2 Ivancsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Ivancsa	3-0 HT 1-0	Budaorsi SC
01/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Budaorsi SC	2-1 HT 2-0	Ivancsa
16/07/22 Club Friendly List	Budaorsi SC	0-3 HT 0-0	Ivancsa

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Budapest II	2	2	0	0	12	2	6
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
3	Ivancsa	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
4	Pecsi MFC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	PEAC FC	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
6	Erdi VSE	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
7	Ferencvarosi TC II	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	Budafoki MTE	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
9	Majosi SE	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
9	Paksi SE II	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
11	Budaorsi SC	2	0	1	1	3	10	1
12	BFC Siofok	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
13	Sarbogard SE	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
14	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
15	Dunaharaszti MTK	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Szekszardi	2	0	0	2	0	12	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Budaorsi SC

DLLLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-4	0-7	–	–	L
25/07	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	2	7	D
24/05	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/05	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	1-0	5-1	8	3	W
10/05	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	10	1	W
03/05	Zsambeki SK Hungary NB III	5-0	8-0	7	0	W
26/04	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
19/04	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	1	6	L
11/04	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
05/04	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	7	5	D

Ivancsa

WDWLWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	11	2	W
24/05	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	3	3	W
17/05	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
26/04	Dombovari FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/04	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
11/04	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/04	Penzugyor SE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
29/03	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Budaorsi SC vs Ivancsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ivancsa win (41%). Probabilities: Budaorsi SC 34%, draw 25%, Ivancsa 41%.

How many goals are expected in Budaorsi SC vs Ivancsa?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Budaorsi SC 1.49 · Ivancsa 1.66), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Budaorsi SC vs Ivancsa?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.