Football · Italy Serie B · 23/08, 21:00

Prediction: Palermo vs Juve Stabia

Team pages: Palermo · Juve Stabia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Palermo1.64
Juve Stabia0.69
1X2
59% 26% 15%
Palermo Draw Juve Stabia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Palermo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWDWLLW
Juve Stabia 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLDWDL
Head-to-head
Palermo 3–1–2 Juve Stabia (6 last)
  • Palermo2-2Juve Stabia
  • Juve Stabia1-0Palermo
  • Juve Stabia1-0Palermo
  • Palermo1-0Juve Stabia
  • Juve Stabia1-3Palermo
  • Palermo3-1Juve Stabia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palermo 1535 · Juve Stabia 1522
PalermoDrawJuve Stabia
Our model59%27%14%
Market60%25%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Palermo: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PalermoJuve Stabia
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.11.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.52.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.63.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Palermo 312 Juve Stabia

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/03/26
Italy Serie B
Palermo2-2
HT 0-1
Juve Stabia
08/11/25
Italy Serie B
Juve Stabia1-0
HT 1-0
Palermo
17/05/25
Italy Serie B Play-Offs
Juve Stabia1-0
HT 0-0
Palermo
19/01/25
Italy Serie B
Palermo1-0
HT 0-0
Juve Stabia
14/09/24
Italy Serie B
Juve Stabia1-3
HT 0-2
Palermo
12/02/22
Italy Serie C Group C
Palermo3-1
HT 2-0
Juve Stabia

Standings · Italy Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Vicenza 110 323
2 Mantova 110 213
3 Sudtirol 110 103
4 Ascoli 000 000
4 Benevento 000 000
4 Padova 000 000
4 Cesena 000 000
4 Empoli 000 000
4 Verona 000 000
4 Modena 000 000
4 Palermo 000 000
4 Pisa 000 000
4 Sampdoria 000 000
4 Arezzo 000 000
4 Avellino 000 000
4 Cremonese 000 000
17 Catanzaro 101 230
18 Carrarese 101 120
19 Virtus Entella 101 010
20 Juve Stabia 000 00-2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPalermoJuve Stabia
Catanzaro 2-0 W 1-1 D
Venezia 0-2 L 1-3 L
Cesena 2-0 W 2-0 W
Frosinone 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Palermo (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palermo

DWWDWDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/05 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 58 W
17/05 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-3 0-3 24 L
08/05 Venezia
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 24 L
01/05 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
1-2 3-2 42 W
25/04 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-1 75 D
18/04 Cesena
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 61 W
10/04 Frosinone
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 76 D
05/04 Avellino
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 15 W
21/03 Padova
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-0 45 W
17/03 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-2 79 D

Juve Stabia

WLWDDLDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/05 Monza
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-2 26 L
16/05 Monza
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-2 15 D
12/05 Modena
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-0 44 W
08/05 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 21 D
01/05 Frosinone
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 70 L
25/04 Pescara
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 26 D
18/04 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 32 D
11/04 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-0 63 W
06/04 Venezia
Italy Serie B
1-2 1-3 45 L
21/03 Spezia
Italy Serie B
1-1 3-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palermo win (59%). Probabilities: Palermo 59%, draw 26%, Juve Stabia 15%.

How many goals are expected in Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Palermo 1.64 · Juve Stabia 0.69), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.