Football · Italy Serie B · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: Verona vs Ascoli
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Verona1.72
Ascoli0.85
1X2
Verona
Draw
Ascoli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Verona
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Ascoli
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verona
2–2–1
Ascoli
(5 last)
- Verona3-1Ascoli
- Verona1-1Ascoli
- Ascoli1-0Verona
- Verona0-0Ascoli
- Ascoli1-4Verona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verona 1532 · Ascoli 1520
| Verona | Draw | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 26% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Verona: 2-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Verona | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 3.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verona 2–2–1 Ascoli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/23 Coppa Italia | Verona | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Ascoli |
| 16/03/19 Italy Serie B | Verona | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ascoli |
| 30/10/18 Italy Serie B | Ascoli | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Verona |
| 13/03/17 Italy Serie B | Verona | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ascoli |
| 15/10/16 Italy Serie B | Ascoli | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Verona |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Benevento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Padova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Carrarese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cesena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Empoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mantova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Modena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Arezzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Avellino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Virtus Entella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Virtus Entella Coppa Italia |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Lecco Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Virtus Verona Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 19/07 | Asd Rovereto Club Friendly List |
6-1 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | FC Rovereto Europe Friendlies |
6-1 | 8-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Ascoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Genoa Coppa Italia |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Potenza Coppa Italia |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Lazio Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Frosinone Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/05 | Catania Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Catania Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Potenza Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Potenza Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verona vs Ascoli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Verona win (57%). Probabilities: Verona 57%, draw 26%, Ascoli 17%.
How many goals are expected in Verona vs Ascoli?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Verona 1.72 · Ascoli 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Verona vs Ascoli?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.