Football · Italy Serie B · 23/08, 21:00

Prediction: Cesena vs Sampdoria

Team pages: Cesena · Sampdoria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Cesena1.15
Sampdoria1.02
1X2
38% 30% 32%
Cesena Draw Sampdoria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cesena 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDDLWWWDL
Sampdoria 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDWLWDLWL
Head-to-head
Cesena 2–3–1 Sampdoria (6 last)
  • Cesena0-0Sampdoria
  • Sampdoria1-2Cesena
  • Sampdoria1-2Cesena
  • Cesena3-5Sampdoria
  • Sampdoria0-0Cesena
  • Cesena1-1Sampdoria
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesena 1501 · Sampdoria 1494
CesenaDrawSampdoria
Our model37%32%31%
Market39%29%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cesena: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CesenaSampdoria
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.10.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.62.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesena 231 Sampdoria

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Italy Serie B
Cesena0-0
HT 0-0
Sampdoria
13/09/25
Italy Serie B
Sampdoria1-2
HT 0-1
Cesena
17/01/25
Italy Serie B
Sampdoria1-2
HT 1-1
Cesena
20/10/24
Italy Serie B
Cesena3-5
HT 2-2
Sampdoria
18/04/15
Italy Serie A
Sampdoria0-0
HT 0-0
Cesena
23/11/14
Italy Serie A
Cesena1-1
HT 0-0
Sampdoria

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Vicenza 110 323
2 Mantova 110 213
3 Sudtirol 110 103
4 Ascoli 000 000
4 Benevento 000 000
4 Padova 000 000
4 Cesena 000 000
4 Empoli 000 000
4 Verona 000 000
4 Modena 000 000
4 Palermo 000 000
4 Pisa 000 000
4 Sampdoria 000 000
4 Arezzo 000 000
4 Avellino 000 000
4 Cremonese 000 000
17 Catanzaro 101 230
18 Carrarese 101 120
19 Virtus Entella 101 010
20 Juve Stabia 000 00-2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesena

LLDDLWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Sassuolo
Coppa Italia
0-2 0-3 52 L
08/08 Forli
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 42 D
05/08 Vis Pesaro
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-0 52 W
01/08 FC Forsempronese
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-0 50 W
25/07 AC Carpi
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 00 W
08/05 Padova
Italy Serie B
3-3 3-4 116 L
01/05 Carrarese
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 43 D
25/04 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 44 D
18/04 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-2 61 L
11/04 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 23 L

Sampdoria

WLDWLWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Cremonese
Coppa Italia
0-1 0-2 44 L
09/08 Parma
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 01 W
01/08 Novara
Club Friendly List
1-2 1-2 L
23/07 Cagliari
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 10 D
18/07 AC Taverne
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 110 W
08/05 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 93 L
01/05 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 44 W
25/04 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 54 D
17/04 Monza
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-3 83 L
11/04 Pescara
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesena vs Sampdoria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cesena win (38%). Probabilities: Cesena 38%, draw 30%, Sampdoria 32%.

How many goals are expected in Cesena vs Sampdoria?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Cesena 1.15 · Sampdoria 1.02), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cesena vs Sampdoria?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.