Prediction: Cesena vs Sampdoria
Team pages: Cesena · Sampdoria
- Cesena0-0Sampdoria
- Sampdoria1-2Cesena
- Sampdoria1-2Cesena
- Cesena3-5Sampdoria
- Sampdoria0-0Cesena
- Cesena1-1Sampdoria
| Cesena | Draw | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cesena: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cesena | Sampdoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesena 2–3–1 Sampdoria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sampdoria |
| 13/09/25 Italy Serie B | Sampdoria | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cesena |
| 17/01/25 Italy Serie B | Sampdoria | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Cesena |
| 20/10/24 Italy Serie B | Cesena | 3-5 HT 2-2 | Sampdoria |
| 18/04/15 Italy Serie A | Sampdoria | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cesena |
| 23/11/14 Italy Serie A | Cesena | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sampdoria |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Mantova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Benevento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Padova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cesena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Empoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Modena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Arezzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Avellino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Carrarese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Sassuolo Coppa Italia |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Forli Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/08 | Vis Pesaro Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Forsempronese Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | AC Carpi Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Padova Italy Serie B |
3-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Sampdoria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Cremonese Coppa Italia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Parma Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Novara Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/07 | Cagliari Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | AC Taverne Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesena vs Sampdoria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cesena win (38%). Probabilities: Cesena 38%, draw 30%, Sampdoria 32%.
How many goals are expected in Cesena vs Sampdoria?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Cesena 1.15 · Sampdoria 1.02), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cesena vs Sampdoria?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

