Football · Italy Serie B · 22/08, 21:00
Prediction: Empoli vs Cremonese
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Empoli1.08
Cremonese1.18
1X2
Empoli
Draw
Cremonese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Empoli
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Cremonese
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Empoli
3–1–2
Cremonese
(6 last)
- Cremonese1-0Empoli
- Empoli2-0Cremonese
- Cremonese2-2Empoli
- Empoli1-0Cremonese
- Cremonese2-3Empoli
- Cremonese1-0Empoli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Empoli 1505 · Cremonese 1489
| Empoli | Draw | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Empoli: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Empoli | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Empoli 3–1–2 Cremonese
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/23 Italy Serie A | Cremonese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Empoli |
| 11/11/22 Italy Serie A | Empoli | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cremonese |
| 13/04/21 Italy Serie B | Cremonese | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Empoli |
| 15/12/20 Italy Serie B | Empoli | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cremonese |
| 03/03/20 Italy Serie B | Cremonese | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Empoli |
| 03/12/19 Coppa Italia | Cremonese | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Empoli |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ascoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benevento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Padova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carrarese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cesena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Empoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sudtirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juve Stabia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vicenza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mantova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Modena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arezzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avellino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Catanzaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Virtus Entella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Empoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Livorno Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Spezia Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Virtus Entella Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Venezia Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Padova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
Cremonese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lumezzane Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 29/07 | Cittadella Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Giana Erminio Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Pisa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Empoli vs Cremonese?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cremonese win (37%). Probabilities: Empoli 32%, draw 31%, Cremonese 37%.
How many goals are expected in Empoli vs Cremonese?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Empoli 1.08 · Cremonese 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Empoli vs Cremonese?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.