Football · Italy Serie B · 22/08, 21:00

Prediction: Benevento vs Modena

Team pages: Benevento · Modena

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Benevento1.69
Modena1.48
1X2
41% 28% 31%
Benevento Draw Modena
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Benevento 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWWDWL
Modena 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWWLWL
Head-to-head
Benevento 1–1–0 Modena (2 last)
  • Benevento2-1Modena
  • Modena1-1Benevento
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benevento 1601 · Modena 1505
BeneventoDrawModena
Our model42%26%33%
Market39%30%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benevento (rating 1601 vs 1505).
  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BeneventoModena
Goals for / against (FT)4.3 / 1.32.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)2.2 / 0.62 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.22 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 03.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Benevento 110 Modena

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/23
Italy Serie B
Benevento2-1
HT 2-1
Modena
18/12/22
Italy Serie B
Modena1-1
HT 1-1
Benevento

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Ascoli 000 000
1 Benevento 000 000
1 Padova 000 000
1 Carrarese 000 000
1 Cesena 000 000
1 Empoli 000 000
1 Sudtirol 000 000
1 Verona 000 000
1 Juve Stabia 000 000
1 Vicenza 000 000
1 Mantova 000 000
1 Modena 000 000
1 Palermo 000 000
1 Pisa 000 000
1 Sampdoria 000 000
1 Arezzo 000 000
1 Avellino 000 000
1 Catanzaro 000 000
1 Cremonese 000 000
1 Virtus Entella 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benevento

DWWWWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Fiorentina
Coppa Italia
0-2 1-4 52 L
09/08 Ravenna
Coppa Italia
2-2 5-3 74 W
01/08 Frosinone
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 52 D
31/07 Vis Pesaro
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-1 20 W
26/07 AS Ostia Mare
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 20 W
25/07 Roma U20
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 80 W
19/07 ASD Calvi
Club Friendly List
12-0 22-0 W
16/05 Vicenza
Italy Serie C Super Cup
2-0 4-1 15 W
09/05 Arezzo
Italy Serie C Super Cup
1-0 1-0 53 W
26/04 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 30 D

Modena

LLWLLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Venezia
Coppa Italia
2-1 2-3 33 L
01/08 Trento
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 40 W
28/07 Cagliari
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 80 L
22/07 Asd Nago-Torbole
Club Friendly List
8-0 10-0 W
19/07 Usd Alense
Club Friendly List
8-0 13-0 W
12/05 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 24 L
08/05 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 02 L
01/05 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-1 27 W
24/04 Monza
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 43 L
18/04 Frosinone
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-2 27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benevento vs Modena?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Benevento win (41%). Probabilities: Benevento 41%, draw 28%, Modena 31%.

How many goals are expected in Benevento vs Modena?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Benevento 1.69 · Modena 1.48), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Benevento vs Modena?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.