Prediction: Carrarese vs Mantova
Team pages: Carrarese
- Mantova1-1Carrarese
- Carrarese0-0Mantova
- Mantova2-1Carrarese
- Carrarese1-1Mantova
| Carrarese | Draw | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mantova (rating 1483 vs 1524).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carrarese | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.5 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrarese 0–3–1 Mantova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Carrarese |
| 27/12/25 Italy Serie B | Carrarese | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mantova |
| 09/05/25 Italy Serie B | Mantova | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Carrarese |
| 20/10/24 Italy Serie B | Carrarese | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Mantova |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ascoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benevento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Padova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carrarese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cesena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Empoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sudtirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juve Stabia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vicenza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mantova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Modena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arezzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avellino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Catanzaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Virtus Entella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carrarese | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Frosinone | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Spezia | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Carrarese (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carrarese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Torino Coppa Italia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Virtus Entella Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Napoli Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Cesena Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Mantova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | AC Carpi Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/08 | Legnago Salus Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 30/07 | Alcione Milano Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Frosinone Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carrarese vs Mantova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Carrarese win (40%). Probabilities: Carrarese 40%, draw 30%, Mantova 30%.
How many goals are expected in Carrarese vs Mantova?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Carrarese 1.31 · Mantova 1.1), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Mantova?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.