Football · Italy Serie B · 21/08, 20:30
Prediction: Vicenza vs Catanzaro
Team pages: Vicenza · Catanzaro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Vicenza1.5
Catanzaro1.46
1X2
Vicenza
Draw
Catanzaro
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vicenza
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Catanzaro
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vicenza 1525 · Catanzaro 1499
| Vicenza | Draw | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vicenza | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Standings · Italy Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ascoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benevento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Padova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carrarese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cesena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Empoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sudtirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juve Stabia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vicenza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mantova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Modena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Palermo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arezzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avellino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Catanzaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Virtus Entella | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vicenza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Catania Coppa Italia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Genoa Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Benevento Italy Serie C Super Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Super Cup |
2-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 6-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Catanzaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Avellino Italy Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Bari Italy Serie B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Spezia Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Juve Stabia Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Modena Italy Serie B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vicenza vs Catanzaro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vicenza win (37%). Probabilities: Vicenza 37%, draw 28%, Catanzaro 35%.
How many goals are expected in Vicenza vs Catanzaro?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Vicenza 1.5 · Catanzaro 1.46), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vicenza vs Catanzaro?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.