Football · Bahrain Premier League · 27/08, 18:00
Prediction: Al-Najma Manama vs Al Khalidiyah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Al-Najma Manama0.75
Al Khalidiyah2.14
1X2
Al-Najma Manama
Draw
Al Khalidiyah
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Al-Najma Manama
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Al Khalidiyah
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al-Najma Manama
0–1–5
Al Khalidiyah
(6 last)
- Al-Najma Manama1-3Al Khalidiyah
- Al Khalidiyah3-0Al-Najma Manama
- Al Khalidiyah2-1Al-Najma Manama
- Al-Najma Manama1-3Al Khalidiyah
- Al Khalidiyah4-2Al-Najma Manama
- Al-Najma Manama1-1Al Khalidiyah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al-Najma Manama 1499 · Al Khalidiyah 1607
| Al-Najma Manama | Draw | Al Khalidiyah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 21% | 69% |
| Market | 11% | 20% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Khalidiyah (rating 1499 vs 1607).
- H2H favours Al Khalidiyah: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al-Najma Manama | Al Khalidiyah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.5 | 2.6 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Najma Manama 0–1–5 Al Khalidiyah
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Najma Manama | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Al Khalidiyah |
| 09/01/26 Bahrain Premier League | Al Khalidiyah | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Al-Najma Manama |
| 16/05/25 Bahrain Premier League | Al Khalidiyah | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Al-Najma Manama |
| 18/01/25 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Najma Manama | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Al Khalidiyah |
| 22/04/24 Bahrain Premier League | Al Khalidiyah | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Al-Najma Manama |
| 08/11/23 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Najma Manama | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Al Khalidiyah |
Standings · Bahrain Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A'ali Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Hidd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Ahli Manama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Muharraq | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Najma Manama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al-Riffa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Riffa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malkiya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Manama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sitra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al-Najma Manama | Al Khalidiyah |
|---|---|---|
| Bahrain SC | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Al-Muharraq | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Malkiya | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Al Budaiya | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Al Shabab Manama | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Al Hidd | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Al-Ahli Manama | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Sitra | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Khalidiyah (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al-Najma Manama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Al Khalidiyah Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Bahrain SC Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | Al-Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Malkiya Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Al Budaiya Bahrain Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/03 | Al Hidd Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/02 | Al-Ahli Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/02 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/01 | A'ali Club Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Al Khalidiyah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Al-Najma Manama Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/05 | Al-Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Al Budaiya Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Al Hidd Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 04/04 | Al-Riffa Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/03 | Bahrain SC Bahrain Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Malkiya Bahrain Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/02 | Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/01 | Al-Ahli Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al-Najma Manama vs Al Khalidiyah?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Khalidiyah win (69%). Probabilities: Al-Najma Manama 11%, draw 20%, Al Khalidiyah 69%.
How many goals are expected in Al-Najma Manama vs Al Khalidiyah?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Al-Najma Manama 0.75 · Al Khalidiyah 2.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al-Najma Manama vs Al Khalidiyah?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.