Football · Bahrain Premier League · 05/09, 18:00
Prediction: Al Hidd vs Al-Ahli Manama
Team pages: Al-Ahli Manama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Al Hidd1.25
Al-Ahli Manama1.18
1X2
Al Hidd
Draw
Al-Ahli Manama
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Hidd
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Al-Ahli Manama
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Hidd
2–3–1
Al-Ahli Manama
(6 last)
- Al-Ahli Manama0-1Al Hidd
- Al Hidd3-3Al-Ahli Manama
- Al-Ahli Manama3-3Al Hidd
- Al Hidd0-1Al-Ahli Manama
- Al-Ahli Manama1-1Al Hidd
- Al-Ahli Manama0-2Al Hidd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Hidd 1535 · Al-Ahli Manama 1491
| Al Hidd | Draw | Al-Ahli Manama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hidd (rating 1535 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Al Hidd: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Hidd | Al-Ahli Manama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Hidd 2–3–1 Al-Ahli Manama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Ahli Manama | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Hidd |
| 01/01/26 Bahrain Premier League | Al Hidd | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Al-Ahli Manama |
| 04/05/24 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Ahli Manama | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Al Hidd |
| 02/12/23 Bahrain Premier League | Al Hidd | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al-Ahli Manama |
| 19/02/23 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Ahli Manama | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Hidd |
| 23/11/22 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Ahli Manama | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Al Hidd |
Standings · Bahrain Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Sitra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Al-Riffa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Hidd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Najma Manama | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Manama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Manama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Al-Muharraq | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | A'ali Club | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | East Riffa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Malkiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Hidd | Al-Ahli Manama |
|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab Manama | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| A'ali Club | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Al-Muharraq | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Al Budaiya | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Al-Najma Manama | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Sitra | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Al-Riffa | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Hidd (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Hidd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | East Riffa Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Al-Ahli Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | A'ali Club Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | Al Khalidiyah Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/04 | Al-Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Al Budaiya Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | Al-Najma Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/02 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 07/02 | Al-Riffa Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Al-Ahli Manama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Al-Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Al Budaiya Bahrain Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Al Hidd Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Al-Riffa Bahrain Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 17/04 | Bahrain SC Bahrain Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Malkiya Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 20/02 | Al-Najma Manama Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 12/02 | A'ali Club Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Hidd vs Al-Ahli Manama?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Hidd win (37%). Probabilities: Al Hidd 37%, draw 29%, Al-Ahli Manama 34%.
How many goals are expected in Al Hidd vs Al-Ahli Manama?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Al Hidd 1.25 · Al-Ahli Manama 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Hidd vs Al-Ahli Manama?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.