Prediction: Malkiya vs Al-Najma Manama
Team pages: Malkiya · Al-Najma Manama
- Malkiya3-0Al-Najma Manama
- Al-Najma Manama1-0Malkiya
- Malkiya0-1Al-Najma Manama
- Al-Najma Manama5-1Malkiya
- Al-Najma Manama2-0Malkiya
- Malkiya0-1Al-Najma Manama
| Malkiya | Draw | Al-Najma Manama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 30% | 43% |
| Market | 27% | 29% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Najma Manama (rating 1458 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Al-Najma Manama: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malkiya | Al-Najma Manama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 2.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malkiya 1–0–5 Al-Najma Manama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 Bahrain Premier League | Malkiya | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Al-Najma Manama |
| 21/12/25 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Najma Manama | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Malkiya |
| 01/05/25 Bahrain Premier League | Malkiya | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al-Najma Manama |
| 08/12/24 Bahrain Premier League | Al-Najma Manama | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Malkiya |
| 17/01/24 Bahrain Cup | Al-Najma Manama | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Malkiya |
| 09/04/23 Bahrain Division 2 | Malkiya | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al-Najma Manama |
Standings · Bahrain Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sitra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Hidd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al-Riffa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | A'ali Club | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Manama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Al-Muharraq | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Manama | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | East Riffa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Malkiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Al-Najma Manama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malkiya | Al-Najma Manama |
|---|---|---|
| Sitra | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Bahrain SC | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Al Shabab Manama | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Al-Ahli Manama | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Al Khalidiyah | 1-2 L | 2-7 L |
| Al-Muharraq | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Malkiya (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malkiya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Al-Riffa Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Bahrain SC Bahrain Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/04 | Al-Najma Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Al-Ahli Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | A'ali Club Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/02 | Al Khalidiyah Bahrain Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/02 | Al-Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
Al-Najma Manama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Al Khalidiyah Bahrain Premier League |
0-5 | 2-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Al Khalidiyah Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Bahrain SC Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | Al-Muharraq Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Malkiya Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/04 | Al Budaiya Bahrain Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | Al Shabab Manama Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/03 | Al Hidd Bahrain Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/02 | Al-Ahli Manama Bahrain Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/02 | Sitra Bahrain Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malkiya vs Al-Najma Manama?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Najma Manama win (43%). Probabilities: Malkiya 27%, draw 30%, Al-Najma Manama 43%.
How many goals are expected in Malkiya vs Al-Najma Manama?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Malkiya 0.98 · Al-Najma Manama 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Malkiya vs Al-Najma Manama?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.