Football · Ghana Premier League · 06/09, 17:00
Prediction: Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.69Total
Hearts of Oak1.16
Berekum Chelsea0.54
1X2
Hearts of Oak
Draw
Berekum Chelsea
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Hearts of Oak
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Berekum Chelsea
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hearts of Oak
4–2–0
Berekum Chelsea
(6 last)
- Hearts of Oak0-0Berekum Chelsea
- Berekum Chelsea0-2Hearts of Oak
- Berekum Chelsea0-1Hearts of Oak
- Hearts of Oak3-1Berekum Chelsea
- Berekum Chelsea0-3Hearts of Oak
- Hearts of Oak1-1Berekum Chelsea
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hearts of Oak 1523 · Berekum Chelsea 1560
| Hearts of Oak | Draw | Berekum Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 34% | 16% |
| Market | 52% | 30% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.69 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hearts of Oak: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts of Oak | Berekum Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts of Oak 4–2–0 Berekum Chelsea
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Ghana Premier League | Hearts of Oak | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Berekum Chelsea |
| 19/10/25 Ghana Premier League | Berekum Chelsea | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Hearts of Oak |
| 18/05/25 Ghana Premier League | Berekum Chelsea | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hearts of Oak |
| 20/12/24 Ghana Premier League | Hearts of Oak | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Berekum Chelsea |
| 08/05/24 Ghana Premier League | Berekum Chelsea | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Hearts of Oak |
| 26/11/23 Ghana Premier League | Hearts of Oak | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Berekum Chelsea |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aduana Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Asante Kotoko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bechem FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Berekum Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Debibi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dreams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ashanti Gold | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Samartex | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heart of Lions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hearts of Oak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Karela United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Medeama SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Port City FC Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vision FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Young Apostles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hearts of Oak | Berekum Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Medeama SC | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Samartex | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Aduana Stars | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Karela United FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Nations FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vision FC | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts of Oak (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts of Oak
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Nations FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 08/03 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Berekum Chelsea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Eleven Wonders Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Hohoe United FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Nations FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/03 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts of Oak win (51%). Probabilities: Hearts of Oak 51%, draw 32%, Berekum Chelsea 17%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea?
The model expects 1.69 goals (Hearts of Oak 1.16 · Berekum Chelsea 0.54), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts of Oak vs Berekum Chelsea?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.