Football · Ghana Premier League · 13/09, 17:00
Prediction: Aduana Stars vs Samartex
Team pages: Aduana Stars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Aduana Stars1.09
Samartex0.65
1X2
Aduana Stars
Draw
Samartex
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Aduana Stars
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Samartex
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aduana Stars
1–1–4
Samartex
(6 last)
- Aduana Stars0-0Samartex
- Samartex1-0Aduana Stars
- Samartex0-1Aduana Stars
- Samartex2-1Aduana Stars
- Aduana Stars0-1Samartex
- Aduana Stars1-2Samartex
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aduana Stars 1461 · Samartex 1532
| Aduana Stars | Draw | Samartex | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 35% | 21% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.73 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samartex (rating 1461 vs 1532).
- H2H favours Samartex: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aduana Stars | Samartex | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5 / 4.9 | 3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aduana Stars 1–1–4 Samartex
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Ghana Premier League | Aduana Stars | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Samartex |
| 06/10/25 Ghana Premier League | Samartex | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aduana Stars |
| 28/08/25 World Club Friendlies | Samartex | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Aduana Stars |
| 01/06/25 Ghana Premier League | Samartex | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Aduana Stars |
| 05/01/25 Ghana Premier League | Aduana Stars | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Samartex |
| 26/02/24 Ghana Premier League | Aduana Stars | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Samartex |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts of Oak | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Vision FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Samartex | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bechem FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Asante Kotoko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Debibi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Ashanti Gold | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Port City FC Ghana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Aduana Stars | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Heart of Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Dreams | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Medeama SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Karela United FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Berekum Chelsea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aduana Stars | Samartex |
|---|---|---|
| Heart of Lions | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Young Apostles | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Hearts of Oak | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Basake Holy Stars FC | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Bibiani Gold Stars | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Berekum Chelsea | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Asante Kotoko | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Bechem FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Samartex (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aduana Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Samartex
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/05 | Bibiani Gold Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/03 | Eleven Wonders Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aduana Stars vs Samartex?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aduana Stars win (46%). Probabilities: Aduana Stars 46%, draw 32%, Samartex 22%.
How many goals are expected in Aduana Stars vs Samartex?
The model expects 1.73 goals (Aduana Stars 1.09 · Samartex 0.65), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Aduana Stars vs Samartex?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.