Football · Ghana Premier League · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: Bibiani Gold Stars vs Hearts of Oak

Team pages: Bibiani Gold Stars · Hearts of Oak

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Bibiani Gold Stars1.33

Hearts of Oak1.05

1X2

42% 30% 28%

Bibiani Gold Stars Draw Hearts of Oak

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bibiani Gold Stars 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWLWL

Hearts of Oak 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLWDDLWW

Head-to-head

Bibiani Gold Stars 3–3–0 Hearts of Oak (6 last)

Bibiani Gold Stars2-1Hearts of Oak
Hearts of Oak2-2Bibiani Gold Stars
Bibiani Gold Stars1-1Hearts of Oak
Hearts of Oak0-1Bibiani Gold Stars
Hearts of Oak0-1Bibiani Gold Stars
Bibiani Gold Stars1-1Hearts of Oak

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bibiani Gold Stars 1512 · Hearts of Oak 1521

	Bibiani Gold Stars	Draw	Hearts of Oak
Our model	42%	30%	28%
Market	42%	30%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bibiani Gold Stars: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bibiani Gold Stars	Hearts of Oak
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 2.8	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:21 +10’	2.15	3.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bibiani Gold Stars 3–3–0 Hearts of Oak

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Ghana Premier League	Bibiani Gold Stars	2-1 HT 1-0	Hearts of Oak
26/10/25 Ghana Premier League	Hearts of Oak	2-2 HT 1-0	Bibiani Gold Stars
23/03/25 Ghana Premier League	Bibiani Gold Stars	1-1 HT 0-0	Hearts of Oak
27/10/24 Ghana Premier League	Hearts of Oak	0-1 HT 0-0	Bibiani Gold Stars
07/04/24 Ghana Premier League	Hearts of Oak	0-1 HT 0-0	Bibiani Gold Stars
28/10/23 Ghana Premier League	Bibiani Gold Stars	1-1 HT 0-0	Hearts of Oak

Standings · Ghana Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hearts of Oak	1	1	0	0	4	0	3
2	Vision FC	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	Samartex	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	Basake Holy Stars FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	Bechem FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Asante Kotoko	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
6	Debibi United	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
8	Ashanti Gold	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Port City FC Ghana	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
10	Aduana Stars	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
10	Heart of Lions	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
12	Dreams	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Medeama SC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Bibiani Gold Stars	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	Swedru All Blacks Utd	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
16	Karela United FC	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
17	Young Apostles	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
18	Berekum Chelsea	1	0	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bibiani Gold Stars	Hearts of Oak
Samartex	2-0 W	0-1 L
Medeama SC	0-2 L	4-2 W
Aduana Stars	1-2 L	0-0 D
Nations FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Karela United FC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Vision FC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hearts of Oak (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bibiani Gold Stars

WLWLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Bechem FC Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
24/05	Eleven Wonders Ghana Premier League	2-1	8-3	–	–	W
17/05	Dreams Ghana Premier League	0-1	1-3	1	10	L
10/05	Hohoe United FC Ghana Premier League	–	3-0	–	–	W
06/05	Samartex Ghana Premier League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Medeama SC Ghana Premier League	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
10/04	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
05/04	Nations FC Ghana Premier League	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/03	Karela United FC Ghana Premier League	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
22/03	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Hearts of Oak

DDWLWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
24/05	Medeama SC Ghana Premier League	1-0	4-2	1	3	W
17/05	Samartex Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
06/05	Karela United FC Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
03/05	Nations FC Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
11/04	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
05/04	Young Apostles Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/03	Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
20/03	Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Hearts of Oak?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bibiani Gold Stars win (42%). Probabilities: Bibiani Gold Stars 42%, draw 30%, Hearts of Oak 28%.

How many goals are expected in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Hearts of Oak?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Bibiani Gold Stars 1.33 · Hearts of Oak 1.05), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Bibiani Gold Stars vs Hearts of Oak?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.