Football · Peru Liga 2 · 16/08, 18:00

Prediction: CD Universidad San Martin vs Club Ada Jaen

Team pages: CD Universidad San Martin · Club Ada Jaen

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
CD Universidad San Martin1.51
Club Ada Jaen1.08
1X2
46% 28% 26%
CD Universidad San Martin Draw Club Ada Jaen
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Universidad San Martin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDLLWL
Club Ada Jaen 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWDLDWLD
Head-to-head
CD Universidad San Martin 0–1–0 Club Ada Jaen (1 last)
  • Club Ada Jaen2-2CD Universidad San Martin
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universidad San Martin 1485 · Club Ada Jaen 1488
CD Universidad San MartinDrawClub Ada Jaen
Our model46%28%26%
Market46%28%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Universidad San MartinClub Ada Jaen
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.60.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.22.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.24.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universidad San Martin 010 Club Ada Jaen

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Peru Liga 2
Club Ada Jaen2-2
HT 0-1
CD Universidad San Martin

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Llacuabamba 10622 14420
2 Union Comercio 9531 9218
3 Pirata FC 10523 151317
4 Carlos Manucci 10523 10917
5 CD Universidad San Martin 11425 161314
6 Club Ada Jaen 11263 8912
7 Cesar Vallejo 10244 81010
8 Academia Deportiva Cantolao 10037 5223

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Universidad San MartinClub Ada Jaen
Deportivo Llacuabamba 0-3 L 0-0 D
Carlos Manucci 2-0 W 0-2 L
Pirata FC 2-3 L 3-1 W
Academia Deportiva Cantolao 3-4 L 0-0 D
Union Comercio 0-1 L 0-1 L
Cesar Vallejo 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Ada Jaen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universidad San Martin

LDWLWDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-3 14 L
25/07 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 32 W
20/07 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
2-1 2-3 88 L
20/06 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-2 3-4 210 L
13/06 Sport Boys
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-0 2-2 37 D
31/05 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
2-0 4-0 69 W
23/05 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 37 L
17/05 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 43 W
03/05 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-2 62 D
18/04 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 69 L

Club Ada Jaen

DDLWDLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 32 D
02/08 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 58 L
26/07 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
2-1 3-1 53 W
19/07 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 69 D
12/07 UTC Cajamarca
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-3 1-4 53 L
20/06 Juan Pablo II College
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 51 D
11/06 Comerciantes Unidos
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 2-0 67 W
31/05 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 21 L
25/05 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-1 39 D
03/05 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-1 2-2 62 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universidad San Martin vs Club Ada Jaen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Universidad San Martin win (46%). Probabilities: CD Universidad San Martin 46%, draw 28%, Club Ada Jaen 26%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universidad San Martin vs Club Ada Jaen?

The model expects 2.59 goals (CD Universidad San Martin 1.51 · Club Ada Jaen 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universidad San Martin vs Club Ada Jaen?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.