Football · Tanzania Premier League · 19/08, 13:00
Prediction: Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC
Team pages: Mbeya City · Dodoma Jiji FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Mbeya City1.13
Dodoma Jiji FC0.89
1X2
Mbeya City
Draw
Dodoma Jiji FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mbeya City
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Dodoma Jiji FC
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mbeya City
2–2–2
Dodoma Jiji FC
(6 last)
- Dodoma Jiji FC1-1Mbeya City
- Mbeya City1-1Dodoma Jiji FC
- Mbeya City1-2Dodoma Jiji FC
- Dodoma Jiji FC1-3Mbeya City
- Dodoma Jiji FC2-1Mbeya City
- Mbeya City2-0Dodoma Jiji FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mbeya City 1506 · Dodoma Jiji FC 1465
| Mbeya City | Draw | Dodoma Jiji FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mbeya City (rating 1506 vs 1465).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mbeya City | Dodoma Jiji FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mbeya City 2–2–2 Dodoma Jiji FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Tanzania Premier League | Dodoma Jiji FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Mbeya City |
| 03/02/26 Tanzania Premier League | Mbeya City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Dodoma Jiji FC |
| 18/12/22 Tanzania Premier League | Mbeya City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Dodoma Jiji FC |
| 17/08/22 Tanzania Premier League | Dodoma Jiji FC | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Mbeya City |
| 23/04/22 Tanzania Premier League | Dodoma Jiji FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Mbeya City |
| 06/12/21 Tanzania Premier League | Mbeya City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dodoma Jiji FC |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singida Black Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Simba Sports Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Mashujaa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Azam FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Pamba SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | TRA United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Mbeya City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Namungo FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mbeya City | Dodoma Jiji FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tanzania Prisons | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Pamba SC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Simba Sports Club | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Singida Black Stars | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mbeya City (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mbeya City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Dodoma Jiji FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 30/06 | Azam FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mbeya City win (40%). Probabilities: Mbeya City 40%, draw 32%, Dodoma Jiji FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Mbeya City 1.13 · Dodoma Jiji FC 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Mbeya City vs Dodoma Jiji FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.