Football · Tanzania Premier League · 27/08, 18:00
Prediction: Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union
Team pages: Simba Sports Club · Coastal Union
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Simba Sports Club2.21
Coastal Union0.46
1X2
Simba Sports Club
Draw
Coastal Union
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Simba Sports Club
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Coastal Union
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Simba Sports Club
5–1–0
Coastal Union
(6 last)
- Simba Sports Club4-0Coastal Union
- Coastal Union1-2Simba Sports Club
- Simba Sports Club2-0Coastal Union
- Coastal Union0-3Simba Sports Club
- Simba Sports Club2-2Coastal Union
- Simba Sports Club1-0Coastal Union
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simba Sports Club 1637 · Coastal Union 1459
| Simba Sports Club | Draw | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simba Sports Club (rating 1637 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Simba Sports Club: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Simba Sports Club | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 6.7 | 2.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simba Sports Club 5–1–0 Coastal Union
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Tanzania Cup | Simba Sports Club | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Coastal Union |
| 21/05/26 Tanzania Premier League | Coastal Union | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Simba Sports Club |
| 02/04/26 Tanzania Premier League | Simba Sports Club | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Coastal Union |
| 01/03/25 Tanzania Premier League | Coastal Union | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Simba Sports Club |
| 04/10/24 Tanzania Premier League | Simba Sports Club | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Coastal Union |
| 11/08/24 Tanzania Community Shield | Simba Sports Club | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Coastal Union |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Simba Sports Club | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Azam FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Namungo FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Mashujaa FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | TRA United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Pamba SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 16 | JKT Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Simba Sports Club | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Pamba SC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| KMC FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Coastal Union (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simba Sports Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/08 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
Coastal Union
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/08 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/06 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Azam FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/06 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Simba Sports Club win (78%). Probabilities: Simba Sports Club 78%, draw 16%, Coastal Union 6%.
How many goals are expected in Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Simba Sports Club 2.21 · Coastal Union 0.46), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Simba Sports Club vs Coastal Union?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.