Football · Tanzania Premier League · 28/08, 15:00

Prediction: Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Mbeya City

Team pages: Singida Fountain Gate FC · Mbeya City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

Singida Fountain Gate FC1.07

Mbeya City0.88

1X2

39% 32% 29%

Singida Fountain Gate FC Draw Mbeya City

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Singida Fountain Gate FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDWLWL

Mbeya City 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDDLWW

Head-to-head

Singida Fountain Gate FC 3–1–1 Mbeya City (5 last)

Mbeya City0-1Singida Fountain Gate FC
Singida Fountain Gate FC0-1Mbeya City
Singida Fountain Gate FC4-1Mbeya City
Mbeya City1-1Singida Fountain Gate FC
Singida Fountain Gate FC2-1Mbeya City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Singida Fountain Gate FC 1470 · Mbeya City 1521

	Singida Fountain Gate FC	Draw	Mbeya City
Our model	38%	34%	28%
Market	40%	30%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mbeya City (rating 1470 vs 1521).
H2H favours Singida Fountain Gate FC: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Singida Fountain Gate FC	Mbeya City
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:12 +8’	2.25	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Singida Fountain Gate FC 3–1–1 Mbeya City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 Tanzania Premier League	Mbeya City	0-1 HT 0-0	Singida Fountain Gate FC
18/09/25 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Fountain Gate FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Mbeya City
02/04/23 Tanzania Cup	Singida Fountain Gate FC	4-1 HT 3-0	Mbeya City
22/12/22 Tanzania Premier League	Mbeya City	1-1 HT 0-0	Singida Fountain Gate FC
21/08/22 Tanzania Premier League	Singida Fountain Gate FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Mbeya City

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Africans	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
2	Simba Sports Club	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
3	Polisi Tanzania FC	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	Azam FC	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
5	Geita Gold	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Mbeya City	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	Namungo FC	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
8	Singida Black Stars	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
9	Mashujaa FC	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
10	Singida Fountain Gate FC	3	1	0	2	1	4	3
11	TRA United	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
12	Pamba SC	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
13	Dodoma Jiji FC	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
14	Coastal Union	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
15	Kagera Sugar	3	0	1	2	3	9	1
16	JKT Tanzania	3	0	1	2	1	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Singida Fountain Gate FC	Mbeya City
Mashujaa FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Singida Black Stars	0-3 L	1-4 L
TRA United	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Singida Fountain Gate FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Singida Fountain Gate FC

DWLLLDWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
18/08	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
14/08	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
30/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
27/06	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
24/06	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
18/06	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
12/06	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
24/05	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	2-1	2-1	0	2	W
21/05	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	2-0	2-2	4	3	D

Mbeya City

LWLWDDDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
19/08	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
14/08	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
08/07	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
30/06	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
27/06	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
24/06	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	9	1	W
17/06	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/05	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	1-2	1-4	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Mbeya City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Singida Fountain Gate FC win (39%). Probabilities: Singida Fountain Gate FC 39%, draw 32%, Mbeya City 29%.

How many goals are expected in Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Mbeya City?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Singida Fountain Gate FC 1.07 · Mbeya City 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Singida Fountain Gate FC vs Mbeya City?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.