Football · Tanzania Premier League · 28/08, 20:00

Prediction: Young Africans vs Pamba SC

Team pages: Young Africans · Pamba SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Young Africans2.75

Pamba SC0.75

1X2

81% 12% 7%

Young Africans Draw Pamba SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Young Africans 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Pamba SC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Young Africans 4–0 Pamba SC (4 last)

Pamba SC0-3Young Africans
Young Africans3-0Pamba SC
Pamba SC0-3Young Africans
Young Africans4-0Pamba SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Young Africans 1636 · Pamba SC 1418

	Young Africans	Draw	Pamba SC
Our model	78%	15%	7%
Market	83%	10%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Africans (rating 1636 vs 1418).
H2H favours Young Africans: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Young Africans	Pamba SC
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.3	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 6.4	2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.10

X9.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.90

2 (+2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:17 +8’	1.10	9.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Africans 4–0–0 Pamba SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	0-3 HT 0-2	Young Africans
24/09/25 Tanzania Premier League	Young Africans	3-0 HT 1-0	Pamba SC
28/02/25 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	0-3 HT 0-1	Young Africans
03/10/24 Tanzania Premier League	Young Africans	4-0 HT 2-0	Pamba SC

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Africans	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
2	Simba Sports Club	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
3	Polisi Tanzania FC	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	Azam FC	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
5	Geita Gold	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Mbeya City	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	Namungo FC	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
8	Singida Black Stars	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
9	Mashujaa FC	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
10	Singida Fountain Gate FC	3	1	0	2	1	4	3
11	TRA United	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
12	Pamba SC	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
13	Dodoma Jiji FC	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
14	Coastal Union	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
15	Kagera Sugar	3	0	1	2	3	9	1
16	JKT Tanzania	3	0	1	2	1	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Young Africans	Pamba SC
JKT Tanzania	4-0 W	1-2 L
Coastal Union	4-1 W	1-2 L
Azam FC	3-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Young Africans (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Africans

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	3-0	4-0	10	4	W
20/08	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	2-0	4-1	9	2	W
15/08	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	3-1	7	2	W
30/06	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
27/06	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
24/06	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
18/06	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
13/06	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
25/05	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
22/05	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	1	W

Pamba SC

WLLWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
19/08	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	0-2	1-2	0	6	L
14/08	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
30/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
24/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
18/06	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
14/06	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
26/05	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	0-1	2-3	3	3	L
20/05	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Africans vs Pamba SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Africans win (81%). Probabilities: Young Africans 81%, draw 12%, Pamba SC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Young Africans vs Pamba SC?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Young Africans 2.75 · Pamba SC 0.75), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Africans vs Pamba SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.