Football · Tanzania Premier League · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: JKT Tanzania vs Namungo FC

Team pages: JKT Tanzania · Namungo FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

JKT Tanzania1.27

Namungo FC1.01

1X2

41% 31% 28%

JKT Tanzania Draw Namungo FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

JKT Tanzania 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLDWLDLL

Namungo FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDWDWLWW

Head-to-head

JKT Tanzania 1–5–0 Namungo FC (6 last)

Namungo FC2-2JKT Tanzania
JKT Tanzania1-1Namungo FC
JKT Tanzania2-2Namungo FC
Namungo FC0-0JKT Tanzania
JKT Tanzania0-0Namungo FC
Namungo FC0-1JKT Tanzania

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JKT Tanzania 1454 · Namungo FC 1523

	JKT Tanzania	Draw	Namungo FC
Our model	41%	31%	28%
Market	41%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Namungo FC (rating 1454 vs 1523).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JKT Tanzania	Namungo FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.88

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +25’	2.20	2.88	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JKT Tanzania 1–5–0 Namungo FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	2-2 HT 1-0	JKT Tanzania
19/10/25 Tanzania Premier League	JKT Tanzania	1-1 HT 0-1	Namungo FC
10/04/25 Tanzania Premier League	JKT Tanzania	2-2 HT 0-1	Namungo FC
20/12/24 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	0-0 HT 0-0	JKT Tanzania
18/02/24 Tanzania Premier League	JKT Tanzania	0-0 HT 0-0	Namungo FC
15/08/23 Tanzania Premier League	Namungo FC	0-1 HT 0-1	JKT Tanzania

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Simba Sports Club	4	4	0	0	7	2	12
2	Young Africans	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
3	Polisi Tanzania FC	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
4	Azam FC	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
5	Geita Gold	3	2	0	1	7	3	6
6	Mbeya City	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	Mashujaa FC	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
8	Namungo FC	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
9	Singida Black Stars	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
10	Singida Fountain Gate FC	3	1	0	2	1	4	3
11	TRA United	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
12	Pamba SC	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
13	Dodoma Jiji FC	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
14	Coastal Union	4	0	1	3	2	7	1
15	JKT Tanzania	3	0	1	2	1	7	1
16	Kagera Sugar	4	0	1	3	4	11	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JKT Tanzania	Namungo FC
Young Africans	0-4 L	1-3 L
TRA United	1-1 D	0-0 D
Mtibwa Sugar	2-2 D	2-1 W
Singida Fountain Gate FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Namungo FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JKT Tanzania

DDLLDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
20/08	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
16/08	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
30/06	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-3	0	4	L
27/06	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/06	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
18/06	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	9	L
13/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
24/05	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
21/05	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	0-2	2-2	6	3	D

Namungo FC

DLDDWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
18/08	Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
15/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-3	1	2	L
30/06	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/06	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
24/06	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	2-1	3-2	11	0	W
16/06	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
12/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
25/05	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-3	0	6	L
21/05	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JKT Tanzania vs Namungo FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JKT Tanzania win (41%). Probabilities: JKT Tanzania 41%, draw 31%, Namungo FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in JKT Tanzania vs Namungo FC?

The model expects 2.28 goals (JKT Tanzania 1.27 · Namungo FC 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in JKT Tanzania vs Namungo FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.