Football · Tanzania Premier League · 18/08, 18:00
Prediction: Namungo FC vs Geita Gold
Team pages: Namungo FC · Geita Gold
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Namungo FC1.38
Geita Gold0.78
1X2
Namungo FC
Draw
Geita Gold
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Namungo FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Geita Gold
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Namungo FC
3–1–2
Geita Gold
(6 last)
- Namungo FC2-0Geita Gold
- Geita Gold1-0Namungo FC
- Namungo FC2-1Geita Gold
- Geita Gold2-1Namungo FC
- Geita Gold1-1Namungo FC
- Namungo FC2-0Geita Gold
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Namungo FC 1483 · Geita Gold 1620
| Namungo FC | Draw | Geita Gold | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geita Gold (rating 1483 vs 1620).
- H2H favours Namungo FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Namungo FC | Geita Gold | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 3.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.3 | 4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Namungo FC 3–1–2 Geita Gold
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/24 Tanzania Premier League | Namungo FC | 2-0 | Geita Gold |
| 26/11/23 Tanzania Premier League | Geita Gold | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Namungo FC |
| 26/02/23 Tanzania Premier League | Namungo FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Geita Gold |
| 22/10/22 Tanzania Premier League | Geita Gold | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Namungo FC |
| 25/02/22 Tanzania Premier League | Geita Gold | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Namungo FC |
| 27/09/21 Tanzania Premier League | Namungo FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Geita Gold |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singida Black Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Simba Sports Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Mashujaa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Azam FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Pamba SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | TRA United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Mbeya City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Namungo FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Namungo FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/06 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/06 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 21/05 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Geita Gold
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Bigman FC Tanzania First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Stand United Tanzania First Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Songea United Tanzania First Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Ken Gold FC Tanzania First Division |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Kagera Sugar Tanzania First Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/05 | TMA FC Tanzania First Division |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Mbuni FC Tanzania First Division |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | B19 FC Tanzania First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Hausang FC Tanzania First Division |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Namungo FC vs Geita Gold?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Namungo FC win (50%). Probabilities: Namungo FC 50%, draw 30%, Geita Gold 20%.
How many goals are expected in Namungo FC vs Geita Gold?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Namungo FC 1.38 · Geita Gold 0.78), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Namungo FC vs Geita Gold?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.