Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 29/08, 21:00

Prediction: ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno

Team pages: ASD Pineto Calcio · Livorno

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
ASD Pineto Calcio1.11
Livorno1.11
1X2
35% 31% 35%
ASD Pineto Calcio Draw Livorno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Pineto Calcio 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWDLDLLD
Livorno 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDDLLWLWW
Head-to-head
ASD Pineto Calcio 1–1 Livorno (2 last)
  • Livorno1-0ASD Pineto Calcio
  • ASD Pineto Calcio3-0Livorno
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASD Pineto Calcio 1452 · Livorno 1518
ASD Pineto CalcioDrawLivorno
Our model34%32%34%
Market35%30%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Livorno (rating 1452 vs 1518).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASD Pineto CalcioLivorno
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.21.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.51.5 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.24 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Pineto Calcio 101 Livorno

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Italy Serie C Group B
Livorno1-0
HT 1-0
ASD Pineto Calcio
11/10/25
Italy Serie C Group B
ASD Pineto Calcio3-0
HT 2-0
Livorno

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1100 303
2 Campobasso 1100 203
2 Pescara 1100 203
2 FC Vado 1100 203
5 Livorno 1100 213
6 Perugia 1100 103
7 Forli 1010 221
7 Sambenedettese 1010 221
9 Ravenna 1010 111
9 AC Reggiana 1010 111
9 Spezia 1010 111
9 Grosseto 1010 111
13 ASD Pineto Calcio 1010 001
13 US Latina Calcio 1010 001
15 Torres 1001 120
16 AS Ostia Mare 1001 010
17 Atalanta U23 1001 020
17 US Pianese 1001 020
17 Vis Pesaro 1001 020
20 Gubbio 1001 030

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASD Pineto CalcioLivorno
Gubbio 0-2 L 3-0 W
Arezzo 1-4 L 0-2 L
Torres 0-0 D 2-1 W
Ravenna 0-1 L 0-2 L
Sambenedettese 0-0 D 0-0 D
AC Carpi 2-1 W 2-2 D
Forli 3-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Pineto Calcio

WLWWDLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 43 D
26/04 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 47 L
18/04 Arezzo
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-4 06 L
11/04 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 06 D
04/04 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 34 L
29/03 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 07 D
21/03 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-1 75 W
14/03 AC Bra
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 2-1 44 W
08/03 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 27 L
04/03 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 3-2 15 W

Livorno

DLDDLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/08 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-1 30 W
26/04 Pontedera
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-0 42 W
12/04 Arezzo
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 03 L
03/04 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 3-0 05 W
28/03 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-3 1-3 09 L
21/03 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-2 31 L
14/03 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-2 75 D
08/03 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-1 23 D
04/03 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-2 46 L
28/02 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Pineto Calcio win (35%). Probabilities: ASD Pineto Calcio 35%, draw 31%, Livorno 35%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno?

The model expects 2.21 goals (ASD Pineto Calcio 1.11 · Livorno 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Livorno?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.