Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 24/08, 20:30
Prediction: Livorno vs Torres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Livorno1.54
Torres0.99
1X2
Livorno
Draw
Torres
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Livorno
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Torres
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Livorno
1–2
Torres
(3 last)
- Torres3-1Livorno
- Livorno3-1Torres
- Torres2-1Livorno
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Livorno 1521 · Torres 1547
| Livorno | Draw | Torres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 30% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Torres: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Livorno | Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Livorno 1–0–2 Torres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Torres | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Livorno |
| 24/11/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Livorno | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Torres |
| 16/08/25 Italy Serie C Cup | Torres | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Livorno |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Pescara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Vado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | AS Ostia Mare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Forli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | US Latina Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Perugia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ravenna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | AC Reggiana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Torres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Spezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Grosseto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Livorno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | US Pianese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Atalanta U23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Livorno | Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Gubbio | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ravenna | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| AC Carpi | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Perugia | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 5 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Livorno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 21/03 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/03 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/02 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/02 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Torres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | AC Bra Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | AC Bra Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 28/03 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 20/03 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 08/03 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/03 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Livorno vs Torres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Livorno win (48%). Probabilities: Livorno 48%, draw 29%, Torres 23%.
How many goals are expected in Livorno vs Torres?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Livorno 1.54 · Torres 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Livorno vs Torres?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.