Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 18/10, 14:30
Prediction: Cavese vs Casarano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Cavese1.56
Casarano1.25
1X2
Cavese
Draw
Casarano
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cavese
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Casarano
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cavese
2–2–1
Casarano
(5 last)
- Cavese1-1Casarano
- Casarano3-0Cavese
- Cavese3-0Casarano
- Casarano1-1Cavese
- Cavese2-1Casarano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cavese 1505 · Casarano 1490
| Cavese | Draw | Casarano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cavese: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cavese | Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavese 2–2–1 Casarano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Cavese | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Casarano |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Casarano | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cavese |
| 21/05/23 Italy Serie D Play-Offs | Cavese | 3-0 | Casarano |
| 16/04/23 Italy Serie D | Casarano | 1-1 | Cavese |
| 04/12/22 Italy Serie D | Cavese | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Casarano |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Catania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Casertana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | Audace Cerignola | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Inter Milan U23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | Scafatese | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | AZ Picerno ASD | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | Cavese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | Monopoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
| 13 | Foggia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Casarano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 15 | AC Savoia 1908 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 16 | Barletta | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 8 |
| 17 | Team Altamura | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 8 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 7 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
| 20 | Crotone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cavese | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Barletta | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| AC Savoia 1908 | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Potenza | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Sorrento Calcio | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Salernitana | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Audace Cerignola | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Bari | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cavese (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cavese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
Casarano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cavese vs Casarano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavese win (43%). Probabilities: Cavese 43%, draw 27%, Casarano 30%.
How many goals are expected in Cavese vs Casarano?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Cavese 1.56 · Casarano 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cavese vs Casarano?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.