Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 31/10, 14:30
Prediction: Audace Cerignola vs Catania
Team pages: Audace Cerignola · Catania
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Audace Cerignola1.12
Catania1.46
1X2
Audace Cerignola
Draw
Catania
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Audace Cerignola
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Catania
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Audace Cerignola
2–3–1
Catania
(6 last)
- Catania0-0Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola0-0Catania
- Audace Cerignola2-0Catania
- Catania0-0Audace Cerignola
- Catania2-1Audace Cerignola
- Audace Cerignola1-0Catania
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audace Cerignola 1511 · Catania 1516
| Audace Cerignola | Draw | Catania | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 29% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 27% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Audace Cerignola: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audace Cerignola | Catania | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audace Cerignola 2–3–1 Catania
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 28/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Catania |
| 02/02/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Catania |
| 25/09/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 15/03/24 Italy Serie C Group C | Catania | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Audace Cerignola |
| 12/11/23 Italy Serie C Group C | Audace Cerignola | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Catania |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Bari | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Catania | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Monopoli | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Audace Cerignola | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Scafatese | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | Casertana | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | AZ Picerno ASD | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 15 |
| 9 | Cavese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 15 |
| 11 | Inter Milan U23 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Foggia | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 14 | Casarano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 14 |
| 15 | Team Altamura | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 16 | Barletta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 17 | AC Savoia 1908 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 10 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
| 20 | Crotone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Audace Cerignola | Catania |
|---|---|---|
| Monopoli | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Crotone | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Team Altamura | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| AZ Picerno ASD | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Casertana | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Giugliano | 4-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Catania (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audace Cerignola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
3-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 04/10 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/09 | Casarano Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Catania
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
3-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 11/10 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Casertana Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audace Cerignola vs Catania?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Catania win (44%). Probabilities: Audace Cerignola 28%, draw 28%, Catania 44%.
How many goals are expected in Audace Cerignola vs Catania?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Audace Cerignola 1.12 · Catania 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Audace Cerignola vs Catania?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.