Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Sorrento Calcio vs Team Altamura

Team pages: Sorrento Calcio · Team Altamura

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Sorrento Calcio1.43

Team Altamura0.93

1X2

48% 29% 23%

Sorrento Calcio Draw Team Altamura

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sorrento Calcio 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLDD

Team Altamura 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLDLWD

Head-to-head

Sorrento Calcio 3–2–1 Team Altamura (6 last)

Sorrento Calcio2-0Team Altamura
Team Altamura1-2Sorrento Calcio
Team Altamura1-1Sorrento Calcio
Sorrento Calcio2-1Team Altamura
Team Altamura1-0Sorrento Calcio
Sorrento Calcio1-1Team Altamura

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sorrento Calcio 1543 · Team Altamura 1444

	Sorrento Calcio	Draw	Team Altamura
Our model	48%	29%	23%
Market	48%	29%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sorrento Calcio (rating 1543 vs 1444).
H2H favours Sorrento Calcio: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sorrento Calcio	Team Altamura
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	1.3 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.10

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +3’	1.90	3.10	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento Calcio 3–2–1 Team Altamura

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Italy Serie C Group C	Sorrento Calcio	2-0 HT 1-0	Team Altamura
29/11/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	1-2 HT 0-2	Sorrento Calcio
10/01/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	1-1 HT 1-1	Sorrento Calcio
08/09/24 Italy Serie C Group C	Sorrento Calcio	2-1 HT 1-0	Team Altamura
10/04/22 Italy Serie D	Team Altamura	1-0	Sorrento Calcio
28/11/21 Italy Serie D	Sorrento Calcio	1-1	Team Altamura

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	11	8	2	1	28	15	26
2	Bari	11	6	3	2	14	7	21
3	Sorrento Calcio	11	6	2	3	15	11	20
4	Catania	11	6	1	4	24	12	19
5	Monopoli	11	5	3	3	13	9	18
6	Audace Cerignola	11	5	2	4	18	11	17
7	Scafatese	10	4	5	1	16	13	17
8	Casertana	11	4	5	2	16	14	17
9	AZ Picerno ASD	11	5	0	6	20	18	15
9	Cavese	11	4	3	4	20	18	15
11	Inter Milan U23	10	4	2	4	19	18	14
12	Salernitana	11	3	5	3	14	15	14
13	Foggia	11	4	2	5	11	13	14
14	Casarano	11	4	2	5	13	18	14
15	Team Altamura	11	3	3	5	9	16	12
16	Barletta	11	2	5	4	13	16	11
17	AC Savoia 1908	11	2	5	4	12	17	11
18	Giugliano	11	3	1	7	15	29	10
19	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	9	23	6
20	Crotone	11	1	4	6	10	16	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sorrento Calcio	Team Altamura
Inter Milan U23	1-1 D	1-1 D
Casertana	0-0 D	0-1 L
Scafatese	2-3 L	0-2 L
Bari	1-2 L	0-3 L
AZ Picerno ASD	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sorrento Calcio (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sorrento Calcio

WWWWLLWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
18/10	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
11/10	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	0-3	2-3	5	2	L
03/10	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
27/09	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
19/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-2	0	3	L
15/09	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	2-0	3-2	6	6	W
12/09	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
05/09	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
29/08	Crotone Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Team Altamura

DLLLWLDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-2	8	4	D
18/10	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
11/10	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
04/10	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
27/09	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
19/09	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/09	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
11/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
06/09	AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
29/08	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	0	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sorrento Calcio vs Team Altamura?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sorrento Calcio win (48%). Probabilities: Sorrento Calcio 48%, draw 29%, Team Altamura 23%.

How many goals are expected in Sorrento Calcio vs Team Altamura?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Sorrento Calcio 1.43 · Team Altamura 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sorrento Calcio vs Team Altamura?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.