Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 02/08, 20:00
Prediction: Quepos Cambute FC vs PFA Santa Cruz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Quepos Cambute FC1.91
PFA Santa Cruz1.1
1X2
Quepos Cambute FC
Draw
PFA Santa Cruz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Quepos Cambute FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
PFA Santa Cruz
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Quepos Cambute FC
5–1
PFA Santa Cruz
(6 last)
- Quepos Cambute FC2-1PFA Santa Cruz
- PFA Santa Cruz1-2Quepos Cambute FC
- PFA Santa Cruz0-2Quepos Cambute FC
- Quepos Cambute FC1-0PFA Santa Cruz
- Quepos Cambute FC2-1PFA Santa Cruz
- PFA Santa Cruz1-0Quepos Cambute FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quepos Cambute FC 1574 · PFA Santa Cruz 1480
| Quepos Cambute FC | Draw | PFA Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quepos Cambute FC (rating 1574 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Quepos Cambute FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Quepos Cambute FC | PFA Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/22/11% | 0/83/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0 | 6.2 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quepos Cambute FC 5–0–1 PFA Santa Cruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda | Quepos Cambute FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | PFA Santa Cruz |
| 08/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Quepos Cambute FC |
| 26/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 0-2 | Quepos Cambute FC |
| 07/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda | Quepos Cambute FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PFA Santa Cruz |
| 16/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda | Quepos Cambute FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | PFA Santa Cruz |
| 02/02/24 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Quepos Cambute FC |
Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | AD Cofutpa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AD Sarchi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AD Grecia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Quepos Cambute FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | PFA Santa Cruz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | AD Rosario | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Quepos Cambute FC | PFA Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| ADR Jicaral | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| AD Cofutpa | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| AD Grecia | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Upala | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| AD Sarchi | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: PFA Santa Cruz (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quepos Cambute FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 13 | L |
| 03/05 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda |
1-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/03 | AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
PFA Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/03 | AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/03 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 08/03 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/03 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/02 | Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quepos Cambute FC vs PFA Santa Cruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Quepos Cambute FC win (55%). Probabilities: Quepos Cambute FC 55%, draw 24%, PFA Santa Cruz 21%.
How many goals are expected in Quepos Cambute FC vs PFA Santa Cruz?
The model expects 3 goals (Quepos Cambute FC 1.91 · PFA Santa Cruz 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Quepos Cambute FC vs PFA Santa Cruz?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.