Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 09/08, 21:00

Prediction: ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi

Team pages: AD Sarchi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

ADR Jicaral2.01

AD Sarchi0.89

1X2

63% 22% 15%

ADR Jicaral Draw AD Sarchi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

ADR Jicaral 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLWLDW

AD Sarchi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWLLDW

Head-to-head

ADR Jicaral 4–1–1 AD Sarchi (6 last)

ADR Jicaral3-2AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi0-3ADR Jicaral
AD Sarchi1-1ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral3-0AD Sarchi
ADR Jicaral2-0AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi1-0ADR Jicaral

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ADR Jicaral 1559 · AD Sarchi 1466

	ADR Jicaral	Draw	AD Sarchi
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADR Jicaral (rating 1559 vs 1466).
H2H favours ADR Jicaral: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ADR Jicaral	AD Sarchi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	1.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.20

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:49 +8’	1.42	4.20	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ADR Jicaral 4–1–1 AD Sarchi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	3-2 HT 1-1	AD Sarchi
21/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	0-3 HT 0-2	ADR Jicaral
09/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-1 HT 0-1	ADR Jicaral
21/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	3-0 HT 1-0	AD Sarchi
06/04/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	2-0 HT 0-0	AD Sarchi
23/02/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-0 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quepos Cambute FC	1	1	0	4	0	3
2	AD Sarchi	1	1	0	2	1	3
3	ADR Jicaral	1	1	0	1	0	3
4	AD Grecia	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	AD Cofutpa	1	0	1	1	2	0
6	AD Rosario	1	0	1	0	1	0
7	PFA Santa Cruz	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ADR Jicaral	AD Sarchi
Inter San Carlos	0-0 D	2-2 D
Quepos Cambute FC	3-1 W	0-2 L
Deportivo Upala	3-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ADR Jicaral (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ADR Jicaral

LWWDWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	12	D
18/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
10/05	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	3-1	8	13	W
03/05	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
26/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
12/04	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/04	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
29/03	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-4	1	5	L

AD Sarchi

LLWDLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
12/04	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
05/04	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
26/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-2	–	–	L
21/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	3-1	12	5	W
10/03	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
07/03	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	6	8	D
01/03	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
26/02	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
21/02	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ADR Jicaral win (63%). Probabilities: ADR Jicaral 63%, draw 22%, AD Sarchi 15%.

How many goals are expected in ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi?

The model expects 2.9 goals (ADR Jicaral 2.01 · AD Sarchi 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.