Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 09/08, 02:00

Prediction: AD Grecia vs Quepos Cambute FC

Team pages: Quepos Cambute FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

AD Grecia1.68

Quepos Cambute FC1.55

1X2

40% 26% 34%

AD Grecia Draw Quepos Cambute FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AD Grecia 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDDLWD

Quepos Cambute FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWDWLW

Head-to-head

AD Grecia 3–1–2 Quepos Cambute FC (6 last)

AD Grecia3-2Quepos Cambute FC
Quepos Cambute FC3-2AD Grecia
Quepos Cambute FC1-1AD Grecia
AD Grecia3-1Quepos Cambute FC
AD Grecia3-2Quepos Cambute FC
Quepos Cambute FC5-2AD Grecia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Grecia 1490 · Quepos Cambute FC 1554

	AD Grecia	Draw	Quepos Cambute FC
Our model	40%	25%	34%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quepos Cambute FC (rating 1490 vs 1554).
H2H favours AD Grecia: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Grecia	Quepos Cambute FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/33/56%	67/22/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:23 +5’	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Grecia 3–1–2 Quepos Cambute FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	3-2	Quepos Cambute FC
21/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	3-2 HT 2-1	AD Grecia
09/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	1-1 HT 1-1	AD Grecia
21/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	3-1 HT 2-0	Quepos Cambute FC
20/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	3-2 HT 3-0	Quepos Cambute FC
05/02/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	5-2 HT 4-2	AD Grecia

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quepos Cambute FC	1	1	0	4	0	3
2	AD Sarchi	1	1	0	2	1	3
3	ADR Jicaral	1	1	0	1	0	3
4	AD Grecia	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	AD Cofutpa	1	0	1	1	2	0
6	AD Rosario	1	0	1	0	1	0
7	PFA Santa Cruz	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Grecia	Quepos Cambute FC
AD Cofutpa	1-1 D	3-1 W
ADR Jicaral	1-1 D	1-3 L
PFA Santa Cruz	0-1 L	4-0 W
Deportivo Upala	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Quepos Cambute FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Grecia

LLWDLDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/04	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
07/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/03	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	1	5	L
26/03	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
15/03	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
08/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
01/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/02	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
21/02	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-3	4	4	L
16/02	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Quepos Cambute FC

WWWLWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
10/05	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-3	1	13	L
03/05	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
19/04	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	5-2	5	6	W
12/04	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
07/04	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/03	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	4-0	3	5	W
22/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
15/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Grecia vs Quepos Cambute FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Grecia win (40%). Probabilities: AD Grecia 40%, draw 26%, Quepos Cambute FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in AD Grecia vs Quepos Cambute FC?

The model expects 3.23 goals (AD Grecia 1.68 · Quepos Cambute FC 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Grecia vs Quepos Cambute FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.