Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 30/08, 02:00

Prediction: AD Grecia vs AD Sarchi

Team pages: AD Grecia · AD Sarchi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

AD Grecia1.52

AD Sarchi1.34

1X2

41% 27% 33%

AD Grecia Draw AD Sarchi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Grecia 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDLWDWWL

AD Sarchi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLDWDD

Head-to-head

AD Grecia 2–2–2 AD Sarchi (6 last)

AD Sarchi1-1AD Grecia
AD Grecia1-0AD Sarchi
AD Grecia1-3AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi2-2AD Grecia
AD Grecia1-2AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi0-3AD Grecia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Grecia 1506 · AD Sarchi 1502

	AD Grecia	Draw	AD Sarchi
Our model	40%	27%	32%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Grecia	AD Sarchi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/25/38%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	2.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:33 +11’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Grecia 2–2–2 AD Sarchi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-1 HT 1-0	AD Grecia
26/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-0 HT 0-0	AD Sarchi
16/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-3 HT 1-1	AD Sarchi
28/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	2-2 HT 1-0	AD Grecia
30/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-2 HT 0-1	AD Sarchi
16/02/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	0-3 HT 0-0	AD Grecia

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
2	Quepos Cambute FC	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
3	AD Grecia	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
4	AD Sarchi	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
5	AD Rosario	3	1	0	2	4	5	3
6	PFA Santa Cruz	4	1	0	3	5	11	3
7	AD Cofutpa	3	0	0	3	2	6	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Grecia	AD Sarchi
PFA Santa Cruz	2-1 W	0-2 L
Quepos Cambute FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Inter San Carlos	1-3 L	2-2 D
AD Cofutpa	1-1 D	2-1 W
ADR Jicaral	1-1 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Upala	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AD Sarchi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Grecia

DLDDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-3	2	1	L
16/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
12/04	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
07/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/03	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	1	5	L
26/03	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
15/03	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
08/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
01/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

AD Sarchi

WDLWLLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	16	9	D
09/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
02/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
12/04	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
05/04	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
26/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-2	–	–	L
21/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	3-1	12	5	W
10/03	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
07/03	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	6	8	D
01/03	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	9	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Grecia vs AD Sarchi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Grecia win (41%). Probabilities: AD Grecia 41%, draw 27%, AD Sarchi 33%.

How many goals are expected in AD Grecia vs AD Sarchi?

The model expects 2.85 goals (AD Grecia 1.52 · AD Sarchi 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Grecia vs AD Sarchi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.