Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 03/09, 21:00

Prediction: Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Team pages: Cariari Pococi · Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Cariari Pococi1.74

Pitbulls Santa Barbara1.3

1X2

47% 26% 28%

Cariari Pococi Draw Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cariari Pococi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLDWWD

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLDWDW

Head-to-head

Cariari Pococi 0–2–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara (3 last)

Cariari Pococi2-2Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Pitbulls Santa Barbara4-1Cariari Pococi
Pitbulls Santa Barbara1-1Cariari Pococi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cariari Pococi 1495 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1509

	Cariari Pococi	Draw	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Our model	47%	26%	28%
Market	47%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cariari Pococi	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	2.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:56 +13’	1.91	3.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cariari Pococi 0–2–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	2-2 HT 0-1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
13/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	4-1 HT 1-0	Cariari Pococi
29/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	1-1 HT 0-1	Cariari Pococi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
3	Cariari Pococi	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
3	FC Aserri	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
5	AD Carmelita	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
6	Guadalupe FC	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
7	CS Uruguay de Coronado	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
8	Futbol Consultants Desamparados	4	0	1	3	2	5	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cariari Pococi	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Guadalupe FC	3-3 D	2-2 D
Futbol Consultants Desamparados	1-0 W	2-3 L
CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Aserri	2-2 D	1-1 D
Escorpiones de Belen FC	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cariari Pococi

WLDDLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	7	4	D
21/08	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
08/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/04	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
05/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
29/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
26/03	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
19/03	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-2	0	4	D
17/03	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	1-4	1	6	L
12/03	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	3	4	W

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

DDWLLLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
22/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
18/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	10	6	W
11/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
28/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
21/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
12/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	6	6	L
07/04	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	3-1	5	1	W
26/03	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
24/03	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cariari Pococi win (47%). Probabilities: Cariari Pococi 47%, draw 26%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara 28%.

How many goals are expected in Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Cariari Pococi 1.74 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.