Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 07/09, 03:00

Prediction: AD Cofutpa vs AD Grecia

Team pages: AD Cofutpa · AD Grecia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

AD Cofutpa1.07

AD Grecia1.87

1X2

20% 24% 55%

AD Cofutpa Draw AD Grecia

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Cofutpa 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DDLDLLLLLL

AD Grecia 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWDWWLW

Head-to-head

AD Cofutpa 0–2–4 AD Grecia (6 last)

AD Grecia1-1AD Cofutpa
AD Cofutpa0-2AD Grecia
AD Cofutpa0-2AD Grecia
AD Grecia5-3AD Cofutpa
AD Grecia1-1AD Cofutpa
AD Cofutpa1-2AD Grecia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Cofutpa 1387 · AD Grecia 1549

	AD Cofutpa	Draw	AD Grecia
Our model	20%	25%	55%
Market	21%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Grecia (rating 1387 vs 1549).
H2H favours AD Grecia: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Cofutpa	AD Grecia
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/63/25%	50/13/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.7	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.6	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.70

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
X	3.50 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	1.85 → 1.61▼	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
20:44 +3’	3.40	3.50	1.85
09:15 +11’	3.90▲	3.60▲	1.70▼
10:24 +11’	4.33▲	3.70▲	1.61▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Cofutpa 0–2–4 AD Grecia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-1 HT 0-1	AD Cofutpa
13/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	0-2 HT 0-1	AD Grecia
30/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	0-2 HT 0-2	AD Grecia
13/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	5-3 HT 3-2	AD Cofutpa
08/04/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-1 HT 1-0	AD Cofutpa
24/02/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	1-2 HT 1-1	AD Grecia

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quepos Cambute FC	5	3	1	1	10	4	10
2	ADR Jicaral	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
3	AD Grecia	4	3	0	1	7	4	9
4	AD Rosario	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
5	AD Sarchi	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
6	PFA Santa Cruz	5	1	0	4	6	13	3
7	AD Cofutpa	4	0	0	4	2	9	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Cofutpa	AD Grecia
Quepos Cambute FC	0-3 L	2-0 W
ADR Jicaral	0-1 L	1-1 D
PFA Santa Cruz	1-3 L	2-1 W
AD Sarchi	1-2 L	1-0 W
Inter San Carlos	0-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AD Grecia (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Cofutpa

DDLDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
17/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
09/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	1-3	–	–	L
02/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
12/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
05/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
26/03	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
22/03	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
11/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	2	11	D
08/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	–	1-1	–	–	D

AD Grecia

LDDLWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-3	2	1	L
16/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
12/04	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
07/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/03	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	1	5	L
26/03	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
15/03	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
08/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Cofutpa vs AD Grecia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AD Grecia win (55%). Probabilities: AD Cofutpa 20%, draw 24%, AD Grecia 55%.

How many goals are expected in AD Cofutpa vs AD Grecia?

The model expects 2.93 goals (AD Cofutpa 1.07 · AD Grecia 1.87), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Cofutpa vs AD Grecia?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.