Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 20/09, 19:00

Prediction: PFA Santa Cruz vs Quepos Cambute FC

Team pages: PFA Santa Cruz · Quepos Cambute FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

PFA Santa Cruz1.31

Quepos Cambute FC1.67

1X2

29% 26% 45%

PFA Santa Cruz Draw Quepos Cambute FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

PFA Santa Cruz 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWLLLW

Quepos Cambute FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLWDWL

Head-to-head

PFA Santa Cruz 0–6 Quepos Cambute FC (6 last)

Quepos Cambute FC4-0PFA Santa Cruz
Quepos Cambute FC2-1PFA Santa Cruz
PFA Santa Cruz1-2Quepos Cambute FC
PFA Santa Cruz0-2Quepos Cambute FC
Quepos Cambute FC1-0PFA Santa Cruz
Quepos Cambute FC2-1PFA Santa Cruz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PFA Santa Cruz 1459 · Quepos Cambute FC 1554

	PFA Santa Cruz	Draw	Quepos Cambute FC
Our model	29%	26%	45%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quepos Cambute FC (rating 1459 vs 1554).
H2H favours Quepos Cambute FC: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PFA Santa Cruz	Quepos Cambute FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.6	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 2.8	3.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 1	6.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.40

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +8’	3.10	3.40	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PFA Santa Cruz 0–0–6 Quepos Cambute FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	4-0 HT 2-0	PFA Santa Cruz
22/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	2-1 HT 1-1	PFA Santa Cruz
08/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	PFA Santa Cruz	1-2 HT 1-1	Quepos Cambute FC
26/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	PFA Santa Cruz	0-2	Quepos Cambute FC
07/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	1-0 HT 1-0	PFA Santa Cruz
16/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	2-1 HT 1-1	PFA Santa Cruz

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	6	4	2	0	10	3	14
2	AD Grecia	6	3	2	1	8	5	11
3	Quepos Cambute FC	6	3	1	2	10	6	10
4	AD Rosario	6	3	0	3	9	9	9
5	AD Sarchi	6	2	2	2	6	9	8
6	PFA Santa Cruz	6	2	0	4	10	13	6
7	AD Cofutpa	6	0	1	5	3	11	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PFA Santa Cruz	Quepos Cambute FC
AD Sarchi	4-0 W	1-1 D
AD Rosario	1-2 L	2-1 W
ADR Jicaral	1-4 L	0-2 L
AD Grecia	1-2 L	0-2 L
AD Cofutpa	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Quepos Cambute FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PFA Santa Cruz

WWDLLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	–	4-0	–	–	W
30/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
23/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-3	1-4	2	4	L
16/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-4	5	5	L
25/04	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-4	2	10	L
18/04	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
29/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/03	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-0	–	–	W

Quepos Cambute FC

WDWLWLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	6	8	L
30/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	12	5	W
23/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
09/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
02/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
10/05	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-3	1	13	L
03/05	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
19/04	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	5-2	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PFA Santa Cruz vs Quepos Cambute FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Quepos Cambute FC win (45%). Probabilities: PFA Santa Cruz 29%, draw 26%, Quepos Cambute FC 45%.

How many goals are expected in PFA Santa Cruz vs Quepos Cambute FC?

The model expects 2.98 goals (PFA Santa Cruz 1.31 · Quepos Cambute FC 1.67), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PFA Santa Cruz vs Quepos Cambute FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.