Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 19/09, 23:00

Prediction: AD Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi

Team pages: AD Cofutpa · AD Sarchi

See it on the live radar ↗

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

AD Cofutpa1.08

AD Sarchi1.29

1X2

30% 29% 41%

AD Cofutpa Draw AD Sarchi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Cofutpa 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLDL

AD Sarchi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWDDLWL

Head-to-head

AD Cofutpa 1–2–3 AD Sarchi (6 last)

AD Sarchi2-1AD Cofutpa
AD Cofutpa0-1AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi1-1AD Cofutpa
AD Sarchi0-0AD Cofutpa
AD Cofutpa2-0AD Sarchi
AD Cofutpa0-2AD Sarchi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Cofutpa 1401 · AD Sarchi 1490

	AD Cofutpa	Draw	AD Sarchi
Our model	30%	30%	40%
Market	31%	27%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Sarchi (rating 1401 vs 1490).
H2H favours AD Sarchi: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Cofutpa	AD Sarchi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/67/22%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.5	3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	5.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.30

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.48 ★
2	1.91 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.24

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:36 +14’	3.25	3.40	1.91
14:30 +14’	2.88▼	3.30▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +208’	2.60	3.44	2.23
22:30 +7’	2.65▲	3.48▲	2.24▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Cofutpa 1–2–3 AD Sarchi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	2-1 HT 0-0	AD Cofutpa
01/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	0-1 HT 0-0	AD Sarchi
28/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-1 HT 0-1	AD Cofutpa
04/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	0-0 HT 0-0	AD Cofutpa
17/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	2-0 HT 1-0	AD Sarchi
10/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Cofutpa	0-2 HT 0-1	AD Sarchi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	6	4	2	0	10	3	14
2	AD Grecia	6	3	2	1	8	5	11
3	Quepos Cambute FC	6	3	1	2	10	6	10
4	AD Rosario	6	3	0	3	9	9	9
5	AD Sarchi	6	2	2	2	6	9	8
6	PFA Santa Cruz	6	2	0	4	10	13	6
7	AD Cofutpa	6	0	1	5	3	11	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Cofutpa	AD Sarchi
AD Rosario	1-2 L	2-1 W
AD Grecia	0-0 D	0-1 L
Quepos Cambute FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
ADR Jicaral	0-1 L	1-1 D
PFA Santa Cruz	1-3 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AD Sarchi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Cofutpa

LDLLLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-2	6	8	L
08/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
30/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
17/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
09/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	1-3	–	–	L
02/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
12/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
05/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
26/03	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
22/03	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	3	6	L

AD Sarchi

WLLDWDDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
30/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
23/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	16	9	D
09/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
02/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
12/04	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
05/04	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
26/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-2	–	–	L
21/03	Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	3-1	12	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AD Sarchi win (41%). Probabilities: AD Cofutpa 30%, draw 29%, AD Sarchi 41%.

How many goals are expected in AD Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi?

The model expects 2.37 goals (AD Cofutpa 1.08 · AD Sarchi 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Cofutpa vs AD Sarchi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.