Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 22/09, 03:00

Prediction: Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs Cariari Pococi

Team pages: Pitbulls Santa Barbara · Cariari Pococi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Pitbulls Santa Barbara1.54

Cariari Pococi1.26

1X2

43% 27% 30%

Pitbulls Santa Barbara Draw Cariari Pococi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDWDWW

Cariari Pococi 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWDDDD

Head-to-head

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1–3–0 Cariari Pococi (4 last)

Cariari Pococi0-0Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Cariari Pococi2-2Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Pitbulls Santa Barbara4-1Cariari Pococi
Pitbulls Santa Barbara1-1Cariari Pococi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1530 · Cariari Pococi 1499

	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	Draw	Cariari Pococi
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	Cariari Pococi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.6	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.08
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.80 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.13 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:48 +8’	2.15	3.40	2.80
15:50 +13’	2.25▲	3.40	2.70▼
00:56 +6’	2.05▼	3.40	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +31’	2.33	3.10	2.69
01:01 +1’	2.08▼	3.21▲	3.14▲
01:59 +4’	2.08	3.21	3.13▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1–3–0 Cariari Pococi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/09/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	0-0	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
26/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	2-2 HT 0-1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
13/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	4-1 HT 1-0	Cariari Pococi
29/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	1-1 HT 0-1	Cariari Pococi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	7	5	0	2	11	8	15
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	6	4	2	0	12	7	14
3	FC Aserri	8	4	2	2	8	7	14
4	AD Carmelita	8	2	3	3	15	11	9
5	Cariari Pococi	5	2	3	0	7	5	9
6	FC Moravia	8	2	1	5	11	10	7
7	CS Uruguay de Coronado	8	2	1	5	6	15	7
8	Guadalupe FC	8	1	2	5	8	15	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	Cariari Pococi
FC Moravia	3-2 W	0-1 L
AD Carmelita	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Aserri	1-1 D	1-1 D
CS Uruguay de Coronado	2-1 W	1-0 W
Guadalupe FC	2-2 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pitbulls Santa Barbara (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

LLLDWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
07/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	9	W
03/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-0	–	–	D
01/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
22/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
18/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	10	6	W
11/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
28/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
21/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
12/04	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	6	6	L

Cariari Pococi

DLLDWWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	13	0	D
03/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	7	4	D
21/08	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
08/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/04	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
05/04	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
29/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
26/03	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs Cariari Pococi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pitbulls Santa Barbara win (43%). Probabilities: Pitbulls Santa Barbara 43%, draw 27%, Cariari Pococi 30%.

How many goals are expected in Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs Cariari Pococi?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1.54 · Cariari Pococi 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pitbulls Santa Barbara vs Cariari Pococi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.