Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 18/09, 23:00
Prediction: AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay de Coronado
Team pages: AD Carmelita · CS Uruguay de Coronado
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
AD Carmelita1.39
CS Uruguay de Coronado1.1
1X2
AD Carmelita
Draw
CS Uruguay de Coronado
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AD Carmelita
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
CS Uruguay de Coronado
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD Carmelita
1–2–3
CS Uruguay de Coronado
(6 last)
- CS Uruguay de Coronado2-2AD Carmelita
- CS Uruguay de Coronado3-0AD Carmelita
- AD Carmelita0-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
- AD Carmelita1-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
- CS Uruguay de Coronado2-1AD Carmelita
- AD Carmelita1-0CS Uruguay de Coronado
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AD Carmelita 1451 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1464
| AD Carmelita | Draw | CS Uruguay de Coronado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CS Uruguay de Coronado: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD Carmelita | CS Uruguay de Coronado | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 1.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Carmelita 1–2–3 CS Uruguay de Coronado
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda | CS Uruguay de Coronado | 2-2 HT 0-0 | AD Carmelita |
| 21/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda | CS Uruguay de Coronado | 3-0 HT 3-0 | AD Carmelita |
| 07/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Carmelita | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CS Uruguay de Coronado |
| 24/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Carmelita | 1-1 HT 1-1 | CS Uruguay de Coronado |
| 07/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda | CS Uruguay de Coronado | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AD Carmelita |
| 21/04/16 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD Carmelita | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CS Uruguay de Coronado |
Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Ana | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | FC Aserri | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | AD Carmelita | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 9 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Moravia | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| 7 | CS Uruguay de Coronado | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 7 |
| 8 | Guadalupe FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD Carmelita | CS Uruguay de Coronado |
|---|---|---|
| Cariari Pococi | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Aserri | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Guadalupe FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Santa Ana | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Moravia | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: AD Carmelita (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD Carmelita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/03 | FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/03 | FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
CS Uruguay de Coronado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
2-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/04 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Carmelita win (43%). Probabilities: AD Carmelita 43%, draw 29%, CS Uruguay de Coronado 29%.
How many goals are expected in AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?
The model expects 2.5 goals (AD Carmelita 1.39 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.