Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 31/10, 14:30

Prediction: Bari vs Scafatese

Team pages: Bari · Scafatese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Bari1.46
Scafatese0.72
1X2
54% 27% 18%
Bari Draw Scafatese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Bari 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWWDWWLWDD
Scafatese 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DLDWDDWWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bari 1544 · Scafatese 1535
BariDrawScafatese
Our model54%29%17%
Market55%26%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BariScafatese
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.71.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 2.92.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.4 / 0.2

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 11821 281526
2 Bari 11632 14721
3 Sorrento Calcio 11623 151120
4 Catania 11614 241219
5 Monopoli 11533 13918
6 Audace Cerignola 11524 181117
7 Scafatese 10451 161317
8 Casertana 11452 161417
9 AZ Picerno ASD 11506 201815
9 Cavese 11434 201815
11 Inter Milan U23 10424 191814
12 Salernitana 11353 141514
13 Foggia 11425 111314
14 Casarano 11425 131814
15 Team Altamura 11335 91612
16 Barletta 11254 131611
17 AC Savoia 1908 11254 121711
18 Giugliano 11317 152910
19 Cosenza 11137 9236
20 Crotone 11146 10161

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBariScafatese
Casertana 1-1 D 2-2 D
Giugliano 2-0 W 3-3 D
Salernitana 1-2 L 2-2 D
Cosenza 1-0 W 1-1 D
Sorrento Calcio 2-1 W 3-2 W
Team Altamura 3-0 W 2-0 W
Barletta 0-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bari (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bari

LWWDWWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 33 D
18/10 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 44 D
10/10 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 2-0 24 W
04/10 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-2 65 L
26/09 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 33 W
19/09 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 23 W
15/09 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 14 D
11/09 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 3-0 25 W
05/09 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 54 W
28/08 Barletta
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-3 13 L

Scafatese

DLDWDDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Barletta
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 36 W
17/10 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-2 64 D
11/10 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
3-0 3-2 32 W
27/09 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 22 W
19/09 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 54 D
15/09 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 41 D
12/09 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 57 W
06/09 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-2 24 D
28/08 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 44 L
21/08 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 3-3 92 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bari vs Scafatese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bari win (54%). Probabilities: Bari 54%, draw 27%, Scafatese 18%.

How many goals are expected in Bari vs Scafatese?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Bari 1.46 · Scafatese 0.72), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bari vs Scafatese?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.