Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · 16/08, 18:00

Prediction: Brito SC vs Braganca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Brito SC1.34

Braganca1.21

1X2

39% 29% 33%

Brito SC Draw Braganca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Brito SC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWLWW

Braganca 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLDDWL

Head-to-head

Brito SC 2–1–3 Braganca (6 last)

Brito SC2-1Braganca
Braganca1-0Brito SC
Braganca5-0Brito SC
Braganca2-0Brito SC
Brito SC2-2Braganca
Brito SC1-0Braganca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brito SC 1539 · Braganca 1549

	Brito SC	Draw	Braganca
Our model	39%	29%	32%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Braganca: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brito SC	Braganca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.7	6.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:08 +3’	2.30	3.20	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brito SC 2–1–3 Braganca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Brito SC	2-1 HT 1-1	Braganca
26/10/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Braganca	1-0 HT 0-0	Brito SC
21/09/25 Portugal Cup	Braganca	5-0 HT 1-0	Brito SC
29/03/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Braganca	2-0 HT 0-0	Brito SC
08/12/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Brito SC	2-2 HT 1-2	Braganca
15/01/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Brito SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Braganca

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Limianos	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ponte Barca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brito SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Celoricense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montalegre	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Tirsense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Vinhais	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Braganca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chaves B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maia Lidador	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rebordosa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Braga B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Maria da Fonte	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vila Mea	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brito SC	Braganca
Vilaverdense	2-0 W	3-0 W
AD Camacha	4-2 W	3-1 W
SC Vianense	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Braganca (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brito SC

LWWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/04	SC Mirandela Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
12/04	CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	3-2	4	3	W
04/04	CD Celoricense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
29/03	CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-0	10	8	W
22/03	Vilaverdense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
15/03	AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	4-2	2	7	W
08/03	AD Machico Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-1	5	11	L
01/03	Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	2-1	5	10	W
22/02	Sao Martinho Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
15/02	SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-2	1	5	L

Braganca

WWDWWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/05	Leca Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
23/05	SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
17/05	Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-1	1	9	D
10/05	Leca Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
03/05	SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
26/04	Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	2-1	5	14	W
18/04	Vilaverdense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	3-0	3-0	8	5	W
12/04	Chaves B Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
29/03	AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
22/03	Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	4-1	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brito SC vs Braganca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brito SC win (39%). Probabilities: Brito SC 39%, draw 29%, Braganca 33%.

How many goals are expected in Brito SC vs Braganca?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Brito SC 1.34 · Braganca 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brito SC vs Braganca?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.