Prediction: Fatima vs AT Malveira
Team pages: Fatima · AT Malveira
| Fatima | Draw | AT Malveira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 32% | 30% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fatima (rating 1503 vs 1461).
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fatima | AT Malveira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | UD da Serra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CF Os Marialvas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | AD Nogueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Fatima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Sertanense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Fazendense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Alverca B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Oliveira Hospital | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Naval 1893 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | AT Malveira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | GD Os Nazarenos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fatima | AT Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| GD Vitoria de Sernache | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Oliveira Hospital | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CF Os Marialvas | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AT Malveira (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fatima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | O Elvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/04 | Electrico Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/03 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 01/03 | Juventude Desportiva Lajense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/02 | Samora Correia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
AT Malveira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/04 | SU Sintrense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Portimonense B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | GD Lagoa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fatima vs AT Malveira?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AT Malveira win (38%). Probabilities: Fatima 32%, draw 30%, AT Malveira 38%.
How many goals are expected in Fatima vs AT Malveira?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Fatima 1.1 · AT Malveira 1.21), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Fatima vs AT Malveira?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.