Prediction: CF Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital

Team pages: CF Os Marialvas · Oliveira Hospital

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
CF Os Marialvas0.84
Oliveira Hospital1.1
1X2
27% 32% 41%
CF Os Marialvas Draw Oliveira Hospital
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CF Os Marialvas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLDWWDWDLW
Oliveira Hospital 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDWDLDL
Head-to-head
CF Os Marialvas 0–1–1 Oliveira Hospital (2 last)
  • Oliveira Hospital1-1CF Os Marialvas
  • CF Os Marialvas0-1Oliveira Hospital
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CF Os Marialvas 1506 · Oliveira Hospital 1531
CF Os MarialvasDrawOliveira Hospital
Our model26%34%40%
Market28%30%42%
Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CF Os MarialvasOliveira Hospital
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.71.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.62.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.26 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Os Marialvas 011 Oliveira Hospital

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Oliveira Hospital1-1
HT 1-1
CF Os Marialvas
26/10/25
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
CF Os Marialvas0-1
HT 0-0
Oliveira Hospital

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mortagua FC 1100 313
2 Benfica e Castelo Branco 1100 323
3 UD da Serra 1100 213
4 CF Os Marialvas 1100 103
5 AD Nogueirense 1010 111
5 Fatima 1010 111
5 O Elvas 1010 111
5 Sertanense 1010 111
9 Fazendense 0000 000
9 Alverca B 0000 000
11 Oliveira Hospital 1001 230
12 Naval 1893 1001 120
13 AT Malveira 1001 010
14 GD Os Nazarenos 1001 130

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCF Os MarialvasOliveira Hospital
AT Malveira 1-0 W 1-1 D
UD da Serra 1-1 D 2-0 W
AC Marinhense 1-1 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Oliveira Hospital (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CF Os Marialvas

DLDWWDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 37 W
18/04 Juventude Desportiva Lajense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-1 83 L
12/04 Naval 1893
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 95 D
04/04 Mortagua FC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-0 51 W
29/03 UD da Serra
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-1 12 D
22/03 Fatima
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 2-0 43 W
15/03 Samora Correia
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 43 W
11/03 AC Marinhense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-1 65 D
07/03 GD Peniche
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-3 113 L
01/03 Oliveira Hospital
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 55 D

Oliveira Hospital

WWWLDWDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Benfica e Castelo Branco
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 2-3 37 L
31/05 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 97 D
23/05 Louletano DC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-2 412 L
17/05 GD Vitoria de Sernache
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 34 D
10/05 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 2-0 110 W
03/05 Louletano DC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 46 D
26/04 GD Vitoria de Sernache
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-2 75 L
18/04 AC Marinhense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 3-0 83 W
12/04 Lusitania
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 2-1 52 W
04/04 UD da Serra
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 2-0 116 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CF Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oliveira Hospital win (41%). Probabilities: CF Os Marialvas 27%, draw 32%, Oliveira Hospital 41%.

How many goals are expected in CF Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital?

The model expects 1.95 goals (CF Os Marialvas 0.84 · Oliveira Hospital 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CF Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.