Prediction: UD da Serra vs Alverca B
Team pages: UD da Serra
| UD da Serra | Draw | Alverca B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD da Serra | Alverca B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 3.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | UD da Serra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | CF Os Marialvas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | AD Nogueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Fatima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Sertanense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Fazendense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Alverca B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Oliveira Hospital | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Naval 1893 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | AT Malveira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | GD Os Nazarenos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD da Serra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Samora Correia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | GD Peniche Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/03 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | AC Marinhense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Lusitania Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Juventude Desportiva Lajense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 01/03 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/02 | Electrico Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
Alverca B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Comercio Industria Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Serpa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Alcochetense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Portimonense B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Clube Oriental Lisboa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | GD Lagoa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | O Elvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Juventude de Evora Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/02 | Louletano DC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/02 | SU Sintrense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD da Serra vs Alverca B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UD da Serra win (39%). Probabilities: UD da Serra 39%, draw 30%, Alverca B 31%.
How many goals are expected in UD da Serra vs Alverca B?
The model expects 2.55 goals (UD da Serra 1.36 · Alverca B 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UD da Serra vs Alverca B?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.