Football · Panama Liga Prom · 30/07, 16:00
Prediction: Academia Costa Del Este vs UMECIT Reserves
Team pages: Academia Costa Del Este · UMECIT Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Academia Costa Del Este2.07
UMECIT Reserves1.29
1X2
Academia Costa Del Este
Draw
UMECIT Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Costa Del Este
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
UMECIT Reserves
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Costa Del Este
2–1–3
UMECIT Reserves
(6 last)
- UMECIT Reserves2-1Academia Costa Del Este
- Academia Costa Del Este0-1UMECIT Reserves
- Academia Costa Del Este2-4UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves2-2Academia Costa Del Este
- UMECIT Reserves1-4Academia Costa Del Este
- Academia Costa Del Este2-1UMECIT Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Costa Del Este 1524 · UMECIT Reserves 1549
| Academia Costa Del Este | Draw | UMECIT Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours UMECIT Reserves: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Costa Del Este | UMECIT Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/56/0% | 29/71/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 7.4 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.8 | 5.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Costa Del Este 2–1–3 UMECIT Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 2-1 | Academia Costa Del Este |
| 17/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 0-1 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 05/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 2-4 HT 1-2 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 20/07/25 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Academia Costa Del Este |
| 25/04/25 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Academia Costa Del Este |
| 01/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 2-1 HT 1-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Costa Del Este | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Panama City FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | UMECIT Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Champions FC Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Costa Del Este | UMECIT Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Champions FC Academy | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Panama City FC | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Costa Del Este (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Costa Del Este
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 9 | D |
| 05/05 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 12/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
UMECIT Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 28/03 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/03 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/03 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Costa Del Este vs UMECIT Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Costa Del Este win (54%). Probabilities: Academia Costa Del Este 54%, draw 23%, UMECIT Reserves 22%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Costa Del Este vs UMECIT Reserves?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Academia Costa Del Este 2.07 · UMECIT Reserves 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Costa Del Este vs UMECIT Reserves?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.