Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · 16/08, 18:00
Prediction: Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Rebordosa1.04
FC Tirsense0.79
1X2
Rebordosa
Draw
FC Tirsense
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Rebordosa
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FC Tirsense
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rebordosa
1–1–1
FC Tirsense
(3 last)
- FC Tirsense3-3Rebordosa
- FC Tirsense1-0Rebordosa
- Rebordosa2-1FC Tirsense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebordosa 1487 · FC Tirsense 1526
| Rebordosa | Draw | FC Tirsense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 35% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.83 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rebordosa | FC Tirsense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebordosa 1–1–1 FC Tirsense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | FC Tirsense | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Rebordosa |
| 21/12/24 Portugal Cup | FC Tirsense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rebordosa |
| 18/08/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Rebordosa | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Tirsense |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Limianos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ponte Barca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brito SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Celoricense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montalegre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Tirsense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Vinhais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braganca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chaves B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maia Lidador | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rebordosa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braga B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Maria da Fonte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vila Mea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebordosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | Leca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Leca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 14 | L |
| 18/04 | Florgrade FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 12/04 | Leca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/04 | SC Vila Real Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Vila Mea Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
FC Tirsense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Varzim Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Chaves B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Desportivo Moncao Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | SC Mirandela Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 08/03 | CD Celoricense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/03 | Vilaverdense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/02 | AD Machico Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rebordosa win (41%). Probabilities: Rebordosa 41%, draw 31%, FC Tirsense 27%.
How many goals are expected in Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Rebordosa 1.04 · FC Tirsense 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.