Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Korotan Prevalje

Team pages: NK Korotan Prevalje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

NK Limbus Pekre0.99

NK Korotan Prevalje2.04

1X2

17% 21% 61%

NK Limbus Pekre Draw NK Korotan Prevalje

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Limbus Pekre 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLLDL

NK Korotan Prevalje 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDDDLD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Limbus Pekre 1445 · NK Korotan Prevalje 1497

	NK Limbus Pekre	Draw	NK Korotan Prevalje
Our model	17%	23%	61%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Korotan Prevalje (rating 1445 vs 1497).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Limbus Pekre	NK Korotan Prevalje
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.3	1.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +3’	5.00	4.50	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	6	5	1	0	19	10	16
2	NK Ormoz	6	4	1	1	14	7	13
3	NK Fuzinar	6	4	0	2	19	13	12
4	NK Smartno	6	3	1	2	16	13	10
5	NK Podvinci	6	3	1	2	11	13	10
6	NK Hajdina	7	2	3	2	13	15	9
7	NK Carda	6	2	2	2	16	12	8
8	NK Ljutomer	6	2	2	2	10	8	8
9	SD Videm	7	2	2	3	13	17	8
10	NK Korotan Prevalje	6	1	4	1	6	6	7
11	NK Dobrovce	6	2	0	4	8	16	6
12	NK Sampion Celje	6	1	1	4	10	13	4
13	NK Limbus Pekre	6	1	1	4	5	14	4
14	NK Race	6	0	3	3	6	9	3
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Limbus Pekre	NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Dobrovce	3-1 W	2-1 W
NK Fuzinar	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Limbus Pekre

LLLDLWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/06	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
10/06	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
06/06	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-4	3	2	L
03/06	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-2	3	7	L

NK Korotan Prevalje

WLWLWDDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/09	Carda Martjanci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
26/08	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
22/08	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-2	–	–	W
23/05	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
16/05	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-2	–	–	W
09/05	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-5	–	–	L
05/05	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	2-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Korotan Prevalje win (61%). Probabilities: NK Limbus Pekre 17%, draw 21%, NK Korotan Prevalje 61%.

How many goals are expected in NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model expects 3.03 goals (NK Limbus Pekre 0.99 · NK Korotan Prevalje 2.04), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.